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Compare Real Madrid vs Villarreal

Real Madrid vs Villarreal Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Real Madrid vs Villarreal: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Real Madrid Real Madrid Home Team
Villarreal Villarreal Away Team
Real Madrid
53.3
L W D W L D L L W W

Last 10 Matches

Villarreal
64.0
D W W D W L W D W L

Categories Won

3

Real Madrid

2

Draw

10

Villarreal

Performance Radar

Real Madrid
Villarreal

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 2D, 4L

50%

5W, 3D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
0

0

+5

+5

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
80%

8 / 10 matches

90%

9 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Vinícius Júnior (8 goals)
N. Pépé (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 10
1st Half: 12 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

100%

4W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

2W / 6 matches

17%

1W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
67.5

League Difficulty: 94.2, Opponent Quality: 73.2

68.8

League Difficulty: 93.0, Opponent Quality: 66.6

Elite Opponent Record
17%

1W / 6 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.0

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.4

2.18

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.38

Adjusted Power Rating
53.3

Attack: 62.7, Defense: 54.8, Form: 47.0

64.0

Attack: 71.3, Defense: 67.3, Form: 59.4

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

4
4

16-30'

3
1

31-45'

4
5

46-60'

2
3

61-75'

2
2

76-90+'

3
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Real Madrid

Power Rating Breakdown

53.3

Overall

Attack 62.7
Defense 54.8
Form 47.0
Consistency 44.8
Villarreal

Power Rating Breakdown

64.0

Overall

Attack 71.3
Defense 67.3
Form 59.4
Consistency 53.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

94.2 vs 93.0

Opponent Quality

73.2 vs 66.6

Elite Opponent Record

17% vs 33%
Real Madrid logo Real Madrid
L
Barcelona (91%)
W
Espanyol (55%)
D
Betis (73%)
W
Alavés (60%)
L
Bayern Munich (88%)
D
Girona (59%)
L
Bayern Munich (83%)
L
Mallorca (73%)
Villarreal logo Villarreal
D
Mallorca (73%)
W
Levante (71%)
W
Celta Vigo (54%)
D
Oviedo (66%)
W
Athletic (60%)
L
Girona (64%)
W
Real Sociedad (61%)
D
Alavés (65%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Barcelona A
0 - 2 L
91%
Espanyol A
2 - 0 W
55%
Betis A
1 - 1 D
73%
Alavés H
2 - 1 W
60%
Bayern Munich A
3 - 4 L
88%
Girona H
1 - 1 D
59%
Bayern Munich H
1 - 2 L
83%
Mallorca A
1 - 2 L
73%
Atlético H
3 - 2 W
61%
Man City A
2 - 1 W
89%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Mallorca A
1 - 1 D
73%
Levante H
5 - 1 W
71%
Celta Vigo H
2 - 1 W
54%
Oviedo A
1 - 1 D
66%
Athletic A
2 - 1 W
60%
Girona A
0 - 1 L
64%
Real Sociedad H
3 - 1 W
61%
Alavés A
1 - 1 D
65%
Elche H
2 - 1 W
61%
Barcelona A
1 - 4 L
91%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 67.5 vs 68.8), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Real Madrid averaging 1.6 and Villarreal averaging 1.8 goals per match.

Villarreal has the defensive edge, conceding 1.3 per match compared to Real Madrid's 1.6.

Real Madrid has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Villarreal has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Villarreal, who boasts a 100% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.1 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Villarreal has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 10.7 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

VS
Villarreal

Villarreal

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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