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Compare Red Star vs Varaždin

Red Star vs Varaždin Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Red Star vs Varaždin: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Red Star Red Star Home Team
Varaždin Varaždin Away Team
Red Star
76.7
L W W D W W W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Varaždin
42.1
D L L W W W D L W D

Categories Won

11

Red Star

4

Draw

0

Varaždin

Performance Radar

Red Star
Varaždin

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
80%

8W, 1D, 1L

40%

4W, 3D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
2.5

25 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+15

+15

+2

+2

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
90%

9 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
A. Katai (7 goals)
A. Latković (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 17 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
83%

5W / 6 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
75%

3W / 4 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
51.2

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 48.7

34.6

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 47.4

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.35

Actual: 2.5 | Diff: +0.15

1.06

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: +0.24

Adjusted Power Rating
76.7

Attack: 84.3, Defense: 67.5, Form: 81.0

42.1

Attack: 36.7, Defense: 53.6, Form: 33.8

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

4
7

16-30'

3
6

31-45'

1
5

46-60'

2
4

61-75'

2
2

76-90+'

1
Red Star
Varaždin
Red Star

Power Rating Breakdown

76.7

Overall

Attack 84.3
Defense 67.5
Form 81.0
Consistency 68.5
Varaždin

Power Rating Breakdown

42.1

Overall

Attack 36.7
Defense 53.6
Form 33.8
Consistency 50.5

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

55.0 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

48.7 vs 47.4

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Red Star logo Red Star
L
Novi Pazar (41%)
W
Čukarički (50%)
W
Partizan (52%)
D
Železničar P (62%)
W
Vojvodina (63%)
W
Spartak (28%)
W
Radnik (55%)
W
Radnički Niš (44%)
Varaždin logo Varaždin
D
Lokomotiva (44%)
L
Hajduk (58%)
L
Dinamo Zagreb (76%)
W
Rijeka (44%)
W
Osijek (46%)
W
Slaven (35%)
D
Gorica (44%)
L
Istra (46%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Novi Pazar H
1 - 2 L
41%
Čukarički A
2 - 1 W
50%
Partizan H
3 - 0 W
52%
Železničar P A
2 - 2 D
62%
Vojvodina H
4 - 1 W
63%
Spartak H
3 - 2 W
28%
Radnik A
2 - 1 W
55%
Radnički Niš H
2 - 0 W
44%
FK IMT A
2 - 1 W
63%
Napredak H
4 - 0 W
29%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Lokomotiva H
1 - 1 D
44%
Hajduk A
1 - 3 L
58%
Dinamo Zagreb A
1 - 2 L
76%
Rijeka H
1 - 0 W
44%
Osijek A
2 - 0 W
46%
Slaven H
2 - 1 W
35%
Gorica H
1 - 1 D
44%
Istra A
1 - 2 L
46%
Vukovar H
2 - 0 W
32%
Lokomotiva A
1 - 1 D
49%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Red Star has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 51.2) compared to Varaždin (SoS: 34.6). This means Red Star's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Red Star's attack is on another level, averaging 2.5 goals per match with A. Katai leading the charge with 7 goals. Varaždin manages just 1.3 per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Red Star conceding 1.0 and Varaždin conceding 1.1 per match.

Red Star has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

The home advantage factor favors Red Star, who boasts a 83% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Red Star is a strong road team with a 75% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Red Star is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (84.3), defense (67.5), and form (81.0) leaves little room for doubt. Varaždin will need an exceptional performance to compete.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Red Star

Red Star

VS
Varaždin

Varaždin

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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