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Compare Rize vs Nacional

Rize vs Nacional Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Rize vs Nacional: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Rize Rize Home Team
Nacional Nacional Away Team
Rize
49.0
L W L D W W L L W W

Last 10 Matches

Nacional
40.8
L L W W L W L L D L

Categories Won

9

Rize

2

Draw

4

Nacional

Performance Radar

Rize
Nacional

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+1

+1

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Q. Laçi (4 goals)
J. Ramírez (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 10
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
100%

4W / 4 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
17%

1W / 6 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
49.3

League Difficulty: 72.0, Opponent Quality: 58.6

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.82

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.22

0.96

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.16

Adjusted Power Rating
49.0

Attack: 53.0, Defense: 49.6, Form: 49.6

40.8

Attack: 27.5, Defense: 65.3, Form: 30.9

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

2
2

16-30'

1
2

31-45'

1
5

46-60'

1
2

61-75'

3
4

76-90+'

Rize
Nacional
Rize

Power Rating Breakdown

49.0

Overall

Attack 53.0
Defense 49.6
Form 49.6
Consistency 38.8
Nacional

Power Rating Breakdown

40.8

Overall

Attack 27.5
Defense 65.3
Form 30.9
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

72.0 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

58.6 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Rize logo Rize
L
Eyüp (58%)
W
Konyaspor (61%)
L
Kayseri (49%)
D
Fenerbahçe (73%)
W
Gaziantep (49%)
W
Samsunspor (62%)
L
Fatih (60%)
L
Trabzonspor (74%)
Nacional logo Nacional
L
Santa Clara (71%)
L
AVS (59%)
W
Tondela (57%)
W
Alverca (59%)
L
Benfica (80%)
W
Estrela (49%)
L
Famalicão (74%)
L
Estoril (47%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Eyüp A
0 - 4 L
58%
Konyaspor H
3 - 2 W
61%
Kayseri A
0 - 2 L
49%
Fenerbahçe A
2 - 2 D
73%
Gaziantep H
2 - 1 W
49%
Samsunspor H
4 - 1 W
62%
Fatih A
1 - 2 L
60%
Trabzonspor A
0 - 1 L
74%
Antalyaspor H
1 - 0 W
43%
Kasımpaşa A
3 - 0 W
57%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Santa Clara A
0 - 2 L
71%
AVS H
1 - 2 L
59%
Tondela A
2 - 0 W
57%
Alverca H
1 - 0 W
59%
Benfica A
0 - 2 L
80%
Estrela H
2 - 0 W
49%
Famalicão A
0 - 1 L
74%
Estoril H
0 - 1 L
47%
Moreirense A
1 - 1 D
55%
Braga H
1 - 2 L
64%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 49.3 vs 53.1), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Rize holds the attacking edge with 1.6 goals per match versus Nacional's 0.8, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Nacional has the defensive edge, conceding 1.1 per match compared to Rize's 1.5.

Nacional has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Rize, who boasts a 100% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Rize has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 8.2 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Rize

Rize

VS
Nacional

Nacional

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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