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Compare Roma vs AC Milan

Roma vs AC Milan Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Roma vs AC Milan: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Roma Roma Home Team
AC Milan AC Milan Away Team
Roma
59.0
W W W D W L W L L D

Last 10 Matches

AC Milan
47.5
L L D W L L W L W W

Categories Won

9

Roma

3

Draw

3

AC Milan

Performance Radar

Roma
AC Milan

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 2D, 3L

40%

4W, 1D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
2.1

21 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+6

+6

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
D. Malen (8 goals)
S. Pavlović (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 12 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
57.5

League Difficulty: 89.0, Opponent Quality: 62.5

65.5

League Difficulty: 90.0, Opponent Quality: 70.0

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.67

Actual: 2.1 | Diff: -0.57

1.05

Actual: 0.9 | Diff: -0.15

Adjusted Power Rating
59.0

Attack: 75.2, Defense: 53.8, Form: 53.8

47.5

Attack: 34.6, Defense: 69.3, Form: 46.2

Goal Timing Analysis

4

0-15'

2

16-30'

5

31-45'

3
4

46-60'

2
3

61-75'

3

76-90+'

4
Roma
AC Milan
Roma

Power Rating Breakdown

59.0

Overall

Attack 75.2
Defense 53.8
Form 53.8
Consistency 45.7
AC Milan

Power Rating Breakdown

47.5

Overall

Attack 34.6
Defense 69.3
Form 46.2
Consistency 39.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

89.0 vs 90.0

Opponent Quality

62.5 vs 70.0

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 20%
Roma logo Roma
W
Parma (62%)
W
Fiorentina (66%)
W
Bologna (63%)
D
Atalanta (64%)
W
Pisa (40%)
L
Inter Milan (84%)
W
Lecce (53%)
L
Bologna (56%)
AC Milan logo AC Milan
L
Atalanta (64%)
L
Sassuolo (69%)
D
Juventus (80%)
W
Verona (55%)
L
Udinese (74%)
L
Napoli (79%)
W
Torino (69%)
L
Lazio (76%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Parma A
3 - 2 W
62%
Fiorentina H
4 - 0 W
66%
Bologna A
2 - 0 W
63%
Atalanta H
1 - 1 D
64%
Pisa H
3 - 0 W
40%
Inter Milan A
2 - 5 L
84%
Lecce H
1 - 0 W
53%
Bologna H
3 - 4 L
56%
Como A
1 - 2 L
76%
Bologna A
1 - 1 D
61%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Atalanta H
2 - 3 L
64%
Sassuolo A
0 - 2 L
69%
Juventus H
0 - 0 D
80%
Verona A
1 - 0 W
55%
Udinese H
0 - 3 L
74%
Napoli A
0 - 1 L
79%
Torino H
3 - 2 W
69%
Lazio A
0 - 1 L
76%
Inter Milan H
1 - 0 W
78%
Cremonese A
2 - 0 W
56%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 57.5 vs 65.5), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Roma's attack is on another level, averaging 2.1 goals per match with D. Malen leading the charge with 8 goals. AC Milan manages just 0.9 per match.

AC Milan has the defensive edge, conceding 1.2 per match compared to Roma's 1.5.

AC Milan has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Roma has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 11.5 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Roma

Roma

VS
AC Milan

AC Milan

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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