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Compare Roma vs AEK Athens

Roma vs AEK Athens Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Roma vs AEK Athens: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Roma Roma Home Team
AEK Athens AEK Athens Away Team
Roma
59.0
W W W D W L W L L D

Last 10 Matches

AEK Athens
66.5
W D W W L W W L D W

Categories Won

4

Roma

2

Draw

9

AEK Athens

Performance Radar

Roma
AEK Athens

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 2D, 3L

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
2.1

21 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+6

+6

+9

+9

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
D. Malen (8 goals)
Zine (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 12 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 8
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

80%

4W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
57.5

League Difficulty: 89.0, Opponent Quality: 62.5

59.8

League Difficulty: 64.8, Opponent Quality: 61.0

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

50%

1W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.67

Actual: 2.1 | Diff: -0.57

1.89

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.09

Adjusted Power Rating
59.0

Attack: 75.2, Defense: 53.8, Form: 53.8

66.5

Attack: 65.9, Defense: 76.9, Form: 65.9

Goal Timing Analysis

4

0-15'

4
2

16-30'

2
5

31-45'

4
4

46-60'

2
3

61-75'

4
3

76-90+'

2
Roma
AEK Athens
Roma

Power Rating Breakdown

59.0

Overall

Attack 75.2
Defense 53.8
Form 53.8
Consistency 45.7
AEK Athens

Power Rating Breakdown

66.5

Overall

Attack 65.9
Defense 76.9
Form 65.9
Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

89.0 vs 64.8

Opponent Quality

62.5 vs 61.0

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 50%
Roma logo Roma
W
Parma (62%)
W
Fiorentina (66%)
W
Bologna (63%)
D
Atalanta (64%)
W
Pisa (40%)
L
Inter Milan (84%)
W
Lecce (53%)
L
Bologna (56%)
AEK Athens logo AEK Athens
W
Panathinaikos (52%)
D
Panathinaikos (57%)
W
PAOK (54%)
W
Rayo (68%)
L
Rayo (73%)
W
Olympiakos (61%)
W
Kifisia (49%)
L
Celje (67%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Parma A
3 - 2 W
62%
Fiorentina H
4 - 0 W
66%
Bologna A
2 - 0 W
63%
Atalanta H
1 - 1 D
64%
Pisa H
3 - 0 W
40%
Inter Milan A
2 - 5 L
84%
Lecce H
1 - 0 W
53%
Bologna H
3 - 4 L
56%
Como A
1 - 2 L
76%
Bologna A
1 - 1 D
61%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Panathinaikos H
2 - 1 W
52%
Panathinaikos A
0 - 0 D
57%
PAOK H
3 - 0 W
54%
Rayo H
3 - 1 W
68%
Rayo A
0 - 3 L
73%
Olympiakos A
1 - 0 W
61%
Kifisia H
3 - 0 W
49%
Celje H
0 - 2 L
67%
Atromitos A
2 - 2 D
59%
Celje A
4 - 0 W
70%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 57.5 vs 59.8), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Roma holds the attacking edge with 2.1 goals per match versus AEK Athens's 1.8, though the gap is not insurmountable.

AEK Athens has the defensive edge, conceding 0.9 per match compared to Roma's 1.5.

The home advantage factor favors AEK Athens, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

AEK Athens has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 7.5 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Roma

Roma

VS
AEK Athens

AEK Athens

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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