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Compare Roma vs Atlético

Roma vs Atlético Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Roma vs Atlético: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Roma Roma Home Team
Atlético Atlético Away Team
Roma
59.0
W W W D W L W L L D

Last 10 Matches

Atlético
48.1
W L L W D W L D L L

Categories Won

8

Roma

4

Draw

3

Atlético

Performance Radar

Roma
Atlético

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 2D, 3L

30%

3W, 2D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
2.1

21 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+6

+6

-1

-1

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
D. Malen (8 goals)
A. Sørloth (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 12 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 8
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
57.5

League Difficulty: 89.0, Opponent Quality: 62.5

64.8

League Difficulty: 89.4, Opponent Quality: 65.2

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.67

Actual: 2.1 | Diff: -0.57

1.61

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.21

Adjusted Power Rating
59.0

Attack: 75.2, Defense: 53.8, Form: 53.8

48.1

Attack: 53.6, Defense: 57.4, Form: 34.4

Goal Timing Analysis

4

0-15'

2
2

16-30'

1
5

31-45'

3
4

46-60'

3
3

61-75'

2
3

76-90+'

3
Roma
Atlético
Roma

Power Rating Breakdown

59.0

Overall

Attack 75.2
Defense 53.8
Form 53.8
Consistency 45.7
Atlético

Power Rating Breakdown

48.1

Overall

Attack 53.6
Defense 57.4
Form 34.4
Consistency 49.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

89.0 vs 89.4

Opponent Quality

62.5 vs 65.2

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 25%
Roma logo Roma
W
Parma (62%)
W
Fiorentina (66%)
W
Bologna (63%)
D
Atalanta (64%)
W
Pisa (40%)
L
Inter Milan (84%)
W
Lecce (53%)
L
Bologna (56%)
Atlético logo Atlético
W
Osasuna (63%)
L
Celta Vigo (54%)
L
Arsenal (77%)
W
Valencia (72%)
D
Arsenal (72%)
W
Athletic (55%)
L
Elche (66%)
D
Real Sociedad (42%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Parma A
3 - 2 W
62%
Fiorentina H
4 - 0 W
66%
Bologna A
2 - 0 W
63%
Atalanta H
1 - 1 D
64%
Pisa H
3 - 0 W
40%
Inter Milan A
2 - 5 L
84%
Lecce H
1 - 0 W
53%
Bologna H
3 - 4 L
56%
Como A
1 - 2 L
76%
Bologna A
1 - 1 D
61%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Osasuna A
2 - 1 W
63%
Celta Vigo H
0 - 1 L
54%
Arsenal A
0 - 1 L
77%
Valencia A
2 - 0 W
72%
Arsenal H
1 - 1 D
72%
Athletic H
3 - 2 W
55%
Elche A
2 - 3 L
66%
Real Sociedad H
2 - 2 D
42%
Barcelona H
1 - 2 L
88%
Sevilla A
1 - 2 L
63%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 57.5 vs 64.8), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Roma holds the attacking edge with 2.1 goals per match versus Atlético's 1.4, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Roma conceding 1.5 and Atlético conceding 1.5 per match.

Atlético has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Roma has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 10.9 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Roma

Roma

VS
Atlético

Atlético

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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