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Compare Roma vs Freiburg

Roma vs Freiburg Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Roma vs Freiburg: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Roma Roma Home Team
Freiburg Freiburg Away Team
Roma
59.0
W W W D W L W L L D

Last 10 Matches

Freiburg
56.4
L W D L L L W W W W

Categories Won

7

Roma

3

Draw

5

Freiburg

Performance Radar

Roma
Freiburg

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 2D, 3L

50%

5W, 1D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
2.1

21 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+6

+6

+2

+2

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
D. Malen (8 goals)
I. Matanović (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 12 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 7
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

75%

3W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
57.5

League Difficulty: 89.0, Opponent Quality: 62.5

63.6

League Difficulty: 84.0, Opponent Quality: 62.1

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.67

Actual: 2.1 | Diff: -0.57

2.09

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.39

Adjusted Power Rating
59.0

Attack: 75.2, Defense: 53.8, Form: 53.8

56.4

Attack: 64.4, Defense: 56.8, Form: 56.8

Goal Timing Analysis

4

0-15'

1
2

16-30'

5
5

31-45'

4
4

46-60'

2
3

61-75'

2
3

76-90+'

3
Roma
Freiburg
Roma

Power Rating Breakdown

59.0

Overall

Attack 75.2
Defense 53.8
Form 53.8
Consistency 45.7
Freiburg

Power Rating Breakdown

56.4

Overall

Attack 64.4
Defense 56.8
Form 56.8
Consistency 38.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

89.0 vs 84.0

Opponent Quality

62.5 vs 62.1

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 33%
Roma logo Roma
W
Parma (62%)
W
Fiorentina (66%)
W
Bologna (63%)
D
Atalanta (64%)
W
Pisa (40%)
L
Inter Milan (84%)
W
Lecce (53%)
L
Bologna (56%)
Freiburg logo Freiburg
L
Hamburg (63%)
W
Braga (66%)
D
Wolfsburg (50%)
L
Braga (71%)
L
Dortmund (76%)
L
Stuttgart (57%)
W
Heidenheim (62%)
W
Celta Vigo (56%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Parma A
3 - 2 W
62%
Fiorentina H
4 - 0 W
66%
Bologna A
2 - 0 W
63%
Atalanta H
1 - 1 D
64%
Pisa H
3 - 0 W
40%
Inter Milan A
2 - 5 L
84%
Lecce H
1 - 0 W
53%
Bologna H
3 - 4 L
56%
Como A
1 - 2 L
76%
Bologna A
1 - 1 D
61%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Hamburg A
2 - 3 L
63%
Braga H
3 - 1 W
66%
Wolfsburg H
1 - 1 D
50%
Braga A
1 - 2 L
71%
Dortmund A
0 - 4 L
76%
Stuttgart A
1 - 2 L
57%
Heidenheim H
2 - 1 W
62%
Celta Vigo A
3 - 1 W
56%
Mainz 05 A
1 - 0 W
70%
Celta Vigo H
3 - 0 W
50%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 57.5 vs 63.6), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Roma holds the attacking edge with 2.1 goals per match versus Freiburg's 1.7, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Roma conceding 1.5 and Freiburg conceding 1.5 per match.

Freiburg has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Freiburg, who boasts a 75% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.4 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

This is a genuine coin-flip. Both teams are remarkably evenly matched across all metrics, and the outcome will likely be decided by the day's form, tactical adjustments, and perhaps a moment of individual brilliance.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Roma

Roma

VS
Freiburg

Freiburg

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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