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Compare Roma vs Inter Milan

Roma vs Inter Milan Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Roma vs Inter Milan: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Roma Roma Home Team
Inter Milan Inter Milan Away Team
Roma
59.0
W W W D W L W L L D

Last 10 Matches

Inter Milan
78.9
W W D W W W W D D L

Categories Won

2

Roma

4

Draw

9

Inter Milan

Performance Radar

Roma
Inter Milan

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 2D, 3L

60%

6W, 3D, 1L

Goals Scored / Match
2.1

21 / 10 matches

2.4

24 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+6

+6

+12

+12

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
D. Malen (8 goals)
M. Thuram (6 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 12 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 15
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

80%

4W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
57.5

League Difficulty: 89.0, Opponent Quality: 62.5

72.3

League Difficulty: 85.5, Opponent Quality: 65.9

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.67

Actual: 2.1 | Diff: -0.57

3.22

Actual: 2.4 | Diff: -0.82

Adjusted Power Rating
59.0

Attack: 75.2, Defense: 53.8, Form: 53.8

78.9

Attack: 97.8, Defense: 73.4, Form: 73.4

Goal Timing Analysis

4

0-15'

3
2

16-30'

2
5

31-45'

1
4

46-60'

9
3

61-75'

4
3

76-90+'

5
Roma
Inter Milan
Roma

Power Rating Breakdown

59.0

Overall

Attack 75.2
Defense 53.8
Form 53.8
Consistency 45.7
Inter Milan

Power Rating Breakdown

78.9

Overall

Attack 97.8
Defense 73.4
Form 73.4
Consistency 61.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

89.0 vs 85.5

Opponent Quality

62.5 vs 65.9

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 60%
Roma logo Roma
W
Parma (62%)
W
Fiorentina (66%)
W
Bologna (63%)
D
Atalanta (64%)
W
Pisa (40%)
L
Inter Milan (84%)
W
Lecce (53%)
L
Bologna (56%)
Inter Milan logo Inter Milan
W
Lazio (76%)
W
Parma (57%)
D
Torino (74%)
W
Como (53%)
W
Cagliari (53%)
W
Como (76%)
W
Roma (70%)
D
Fiorentina (71%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Parma A
3 - 2 W
62%
Fiorentina H
4 - 0 W
66%
Bologna A
2 - 0 W
63%
Atalanta H
1 - 1 D
64%
Pisa H
3 - 0 W
40%
Inter Milan A
2 - 5 L
84%
Lecce H
1 - 0 W
53%
Bologna H
3 - 4 L
56%
Como A
1 - 2 L
76%
Bologna A
1 - 1 D
61%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Lazio A
3 - 0 W
76%
Parma H
2 - 0 W
57%
Torino A
2 - 2 D
74%
Como H
3 - 2 W
53%
Cagliari H
3 - 0 W
53%
Como A
4 - 3 W
76%
Roma H
5 - 2 W
70%
Fiorentina A
1 - 1 D
71%
Atalanta H
1 - 1 D
64%
AC Milan A
0 - 1 L
65%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Inter Milan has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 72.3) compared to Roma (SoS: 57.5). This means Inter Milan's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Roma averaging 2.1 and Inter Milan averaging 2.4 goals per match.

Inter Milan has the defensive edge, conceding 1.2 per match compared to Roma's 1.5.

Inter Milan has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 3 of 5 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

The home advantage factor favors Inter Milan, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Inter Milan emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (78.9 vs 59.0) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

In the Italian Serie A (2026-04-05), Inter Milan beat Roma 5-2. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Inter Milan secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 5-2 scoreline was emphatic — Inter Milan completely dominated Roma in that encounter, raising serious questions about Roma's ability to compete at this level. Roma will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Inter Milan will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Roma

Roma

VS
Inter Milan

Inter Milan

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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