Compare Roma vs Rayo

Roma vs Rayo Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Roma vs Rayo: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Roma Home Team

Rayo Away Team

Roma

59.0

W W W D W L W L L D

Last 10 Matches

Rayo

65.9

D W W W D W L L W W

Categories Won

Roma

Draw

Rayo

Performance Radar

Roma

Rayo

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

50%

5W, 2D, 3L

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match

2.1

21 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

Clean Sheet

40%

4 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

60%

6 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

60%

6 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

D. Malen (8 goals)

Alemão (4 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 12 / 2nd Half: 9

1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9

Home Win Rate

60%

3W / 5 matches

67%

4W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate

40%

2W / 5 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

57.5

League Difficulty: 89.0, Opponent Quality: 62.5

69.3

League Difficulty: 87.0, Opponent Quality: 63.0

Elite Opponent Record

0W / 2 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

2.67

Actual: 2.1 | Diff: -0.57

1.74

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.34

Adjusted Power Rating

59.0

Attack: 75.2, Defense: 53.8, Form: 53.8

65.9

Attack: 55.7, Defense: 79.5, Form: 71.6

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Roma

Rayo

Power Rating Breakdown

59.0

Overall

Attack 75.2

Defense 53.8

Form 53.8

Consistency 45.7

Power Rating Breakdown

65.9

Overall

Attack 55.7

Defense 79.5

Form 71.6

Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

89.0 vs 87.0

Opponent Quality

62.5 vs 63.0

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 50%

Roma

Rayo

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Parma A

Italian Serie A

3 - 2 W

62%

Fiorentina H

Italian Serie A

4 - 0 W

66%

Bologna A

Italian Serie A

2 - 0 W

63%

Atalanta H

Italian Serie A

1 - 1 D

64%

Pisa H

Italian Serie A

3 - 0 W

40%

Inter Milan A

Italian Serie A

2 - 5 L

84%

Lecce H

Italian Serie A

1 - 0 W

53%

Bologna H

UEFA Europa League

3 - 4 L

56%

Como A

Italian Serie A

1 - 2 L

76%

Bologna A

UEFA Europa League

1 - 1 D

61%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Girona H

Spanish La Liga

1 - 1 D

59%

Strasbourg A

UEFA Conference League

1 - 0 W

57%

Getafe A

Spanish La Liga

2 - 0 W

72%

Strasbourg H

UEFA Conference League

1 - 0 W

52%

Real Sociedad H

Spanish La Liga

3 - 3 D

61%

Espanyol H

Spanish La Liga

1 - 0 W

50%

AEK Athens A

UEFA Conference League

1 - 3 L

75%

Mallorca A

Spanish La Liga

0 - 3 L

73%

AEK Athens H

UEFA Conference League

3 - 0 W

70%

Elche H

Spanish La Liga

1 - 0 W

61%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Rayo has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 69.3) compared to Roma (SoS: 57.5). This means Rayo's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Roma holds the attacking edge with 2.1 goals per match versus Rayo's 1.4, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Rayo has the defensive edge, conceding 1.0 per match compared to Roma's 1.5.

Rayo has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Rayo has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 6.9 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Roma

Rayo

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair