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Compare Roma vs Leipzig

Roma vs Leipzig Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Roma vs Leipzig: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Roma Roma Home Team
Leipzig Leipzig Away Team
Roma
59.0
W W W D W L W L L D

Last 10 Matches

Leipzig
74.6
W L W W W W W L W W

Categories Won

2

Roma

3

Draw

10

Leipzig

Performance Radar

Roma
Leipzig

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 2D, 3L

80%

8W, 0D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
2.1

21 / 10 matches

2.1

21 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+6

+6

+10

+10

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
D. Malen (8 goals)
Y. Diomande (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 12 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 11
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

100%

5W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
57.5

League Difficulty: 89.0, Opponent Quality: 62.5

58.7

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 63.8

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.67

Actual: 2.1 | Diff: -0.57

2.71

Actual: 2.1 | Diff: -0.61

Adjusted Power Rating
59.0

Attack: 75.2, Defense: 53.8, Form: 53.8

74.6

Attack: 76.1, Defense: 68.8, Form: 87.0

Goal Timing Analysis

4

0-15'

1
2

16-30'

6
5

31-45'

3
4

46-60'

3
3

61-75'

2
3

76-90+'

6
Roma
Leipzig
Roma

Power Rating Breakdown

59.0

Overall

Attack 75.2
Defense 53.8
Form 53.8
Consistency 45.7
Leipzig

Power Rating Breakdown

74.6

Overall

Attack 76.1
Defense 68.8
Form 87.0
Consistency 56.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

89.0 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

62.5 vs 63.8

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Roma logo Roma
W
Parma (62%)
W
Fiorentina (66%)
W
Bologna (63%)
D
Atalanta (64%)
W
Pisa (40%)
L
Inter Milan (84%)
W
Lecce (53%)
L
Bologna (56%)
Leipzig logo Leipzig
W
St. Pauli (50%)
L
Leverkusen (70%)
W
Union Berlin (52%)
W
Frankfurt (67%)
W
M'gladbach (63%)
W
Bremen (67%)
W
Hoffenheim (65%)
L
Stuttgart (75%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Parma A
3 - 2 W
62%
Fiorentina H
4 - 0 W
66%
Bologna A
2 - 0 W
63%
Atalanta H
1 - 1 D
64%
Pisa H
3 - 0 W
40%
Inter Milan A
2 - 5 L
84%
Lecce H
1 - 0 W
53%
Bologna H
3 - 4 L
56%
Como A
1 - 2 L
76%
Bologna A
1 - 1 D
61%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
St. Pauli H
2 - 1 W
50%
Leverkusen A
1 - 4 L
70%
Union Berlin H
3 - 1 W
52%
Frankfurt A
3 - 1 W
67%
M'gladbach H
1 - 0 W
63%
Bremen A
2 - 1 W
67%
Hoffenheim H
5 - 0 W
65%
Stuttgart A
0 - 1 L
75%
Augsburg H
2 - 1 W
66%
Hamburg A
2 - 1 W
63%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 57.5 vs 58.7), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Roma averaging 2.1 and Leipzig averaging 2.1 goals per match.

Leipzig has the defensive edge, conceding 1.1 per match compared to Roma's 1.5.

The home advantage factor favors Leipzig, who boasts a 100% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Leipzig is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.4 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Leipzig emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (74.6 vs 59.0) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Roma

Roma

VS
Leipzig

Leipzig

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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