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Compare Braga vs Brest

Braga vs Brest Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Braga vs Brest: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Braga Braga Home Team
Brest Brest Away Team
Braga
55.4
D L D W L W D W W D

Last 10 Matches

Brest
40.9
L L D D L L L W W W

Categories Won

12

Braga

1

Draw

2

Brest

Performance Radar

Braga
Brest

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 4D, 2L

30%

3W, 2D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+2

+2

-6

-6

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
80%

8 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Pau Víctor (5 goals)
L. Ajorque (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

17%

1W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
63.4

League Difficulty: 81.4, Opponent Quality: 64.5

58.0

League Difficulty: 86.0, Opponent Quality: 67.3

Elite Opponent Record
33%

1W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 6 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.93

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.33

1.49

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.29

Adjusted Power Rating
55.4

Attack: 60.5, Defense: 60.5, Form: 45.4

40.9

Attack: 43.2, Defense: 43.2, Form: 32.4

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

3
2

16-30'

2
2

31-45'

1
3

46-60'

2
2

61-75'

3
4

76-90+'

1
Braga
Brest
Braga

Power Rating Breakdown

55.4

Overall

Attack 60.5
Defense 60.5
Form 45.4
Consistency 56.8
Brest

Power Rating Breakdown

40.9

Overall

Attack 43.2
Defense 43.2
Form 32.4
Consistency 49.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

81.4 vs 86.0

Opponent Quality

64.5 vs 67.3

Elite Opponent Record

33% vs 0%
Braga logo Braga
D
Benfica (80%)
L
Freiburg (69%)
D
Estoril (47%)
W
Freiburg (64%)
L
Santa Clara (71%)
W
Casa Pia (53%)
D
Famalicão (69%)
W
Betis (70%)
Brest logo Brest
L
Paris SG (84%)
L
Paris FC (77%)
D
Lens (71%)
D
Nantes (56%)
L
Rennes (75%)
L
Auxerre (71%)
L
Monaco (77%)
W
Le Havre (53%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Benfica A
2 - 2 D
80%
Freiburg A
1 - 3 L
69%
Estoril H
1 - 1 D
47%
Freiburg H
2 - 1 W
64%
Santa Clara A
1 - 2 L
71%
Casa Pia A
1 - 0 W
53%
Famalicão H
2 - 2 D
69%
Betis A
4 - 2 W
70%
Arouca H
1 - 0 W
57%
Betis H
1 - 1 D
65%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Paris SG A
0 - 1 L
84%
Paris FC A
0 - 4 L
77%
Lens H
3 - 3 D
71%
Nantes A
1 - 1 D
56%
Rennes H
3 - 4 L
75%
Auxerre A
0 - 3 L
71%
Monaco A
0 - 2 L
77%
Le Havre H
2 - 0 W
53%
Metz A
1 - 0 W
48%
Marseille H
2 - 0 W
61%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 63.4 vs 58.0), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Braga holds the attacking edge with 1.6 goals per match versus Brest's 1.2, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Braga has the defensive edge, conceding 1.4 per match compared to Brest's 1.8.

Braga has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Brest has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Braga has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 14.5 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Braga

Braga

VS
Brest

Brest

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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