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Compare Braga vs Estrela

Braga vs Estrela Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Braga vs Estrela: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Braga Braga Home Team
Estrela Estrela Away Team
Braga
55.4
D L D W L W D W W D

Last 10 Matches

Estrela
39.2
D L L L L L W L D D

Categories Won

12

Braga

1

Draw

2

Estrela

Performance Radar

Braga
Estrela

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 4D, 2L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+2

+2

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
80%

8 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Pau Víctor (5 goals)
Rodrigo Pinho (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
63.4

League Difficulty: 81.4, Opponent Quality: 64.5

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record
33%

1W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.93

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.33

1.0

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: 0.0

Adjusted Power Rating
55.4

Attack: 60.5, Defense: 60.5, Form: 45.4

39.2

Attack: 34.4, Defense: 58.4, Form: 10.3

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

2
2

16-30'

2

31-45'

2
3

46-60'

2
2

61-75'

2
4

76-90+'

2
Braga
Estrela
Braga

Power Rating Breakdown

55.4

Overall

Attack 60.5
Defense 60.5
Form 45.4
Consistency 56.8
Estrela

Power Rating Breakdown

39.2

Overall

Attack 34.4
Defense 58.4
Form 10.3
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

81.4 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

64.5 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

33% vs 0%
Braga logo Braga
D
Benfica (80%)
L
Freiburg (69%)
D
Estoril (47%)
W
Freiburg (64%)
L
Santa Clara (71%)
W
Casa Pia (53%)
D
Famalicão (69%)
W
Betis (70%)
Estrela logo Estrela
D
Famalicão (69%)
L
Moreirense (55%)
L
Porto (69%)
L
Arouca (62%)
L
Sporting (70%)
L
Nacional (57%)
W
Casa Pia (48%)
L
Rio Ave (66%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Benfica A
2 - 2 D
80%
Freiburg A
1 - 3 L
69%
Estoril H
1 - 1 D
47%
Freiburg H
2 - 1 W
64%
Santa Clara A
1 - 2 L
71%
Casa Pia A
1 - 0 W
53%
Famalicão H
2 - 2 D
69%
Betis A
4 - 2 W
70%
Arouca H
1 - 0 W
57%
Betis H
1 - 1 D
65%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Famalicão H
0 - 0 D
69%
Moreirense A
2 - 3 L
55%
Porto H
1 - 2 L
69%
Arouca A
0 - 1 L
62%
Sporting H
0 - 1 L
70%
Nacional A
0 - 2 L
57%
Casa Pia H
4 - 0 W
48%
Rio Ave A
1 - 2 L
66%
Gil Vicente H
2 - 2 D
55%
AVS A
0 - 0 D
64%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Braga has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 63.4) compared to Estrela (SoS: 53.1). This means Braga's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Braga holds the attacking edge with 1.6 goals per match versus Estrela's 1.0, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Braga conceding 1.4 and Estrela conceding 1.3 per match.

Braga has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Braga emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (55.4 vs 39.2) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Braga

Braga

VS
Estrela

Estrela

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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