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Compare Braga vs Nacional

Braga vs Nacional Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Braga vs Nacional: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Braga Braga Home Team
Nacional Nacional Away Team
Braga
55.4
D L D W L W D W W D

Last 10 Matches

Nacional
40.8
L L W W L W L L D L

Categories Won

11

Braga

2

Draw

2

Nacional

Performance Radar

Braga
Nacional

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 4D, 2L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+2

+2

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
80%

8 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Pau Víctor (5 goals)
J. Ramírez (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
63.4

League Difficulty: 81.4, Opponent Quality: 64.5

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record
33%

1W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.93

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.33

0.96

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.16

Adjusted Power Rating
55.4

Attack: 60.5, Defense: 60.5, Form: 45.4

40.8

Attack: 27.5, Defense: 65.3, Form: 30.9

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

2
2

16-30'

1
2

31-45'

1
3

46-60'

1
2

61-75'

3
4

76-90+'

Braga
Nacional
Braga

Power Rating Breakdown

55.4

Overall

Attack 60.5
Defense 60.5
Form 45.4
Consistency 56.8
Nacional

Power Rating Breakdown

40.8

Overall

Attack 27.5
Defense 65.3
Form 30.9
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

81.4 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

64.5 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

33% vs 0%
Braga logo Braga
D
Benfica (80%)
L
Freiburg (69%)
D
Estoril (47%)
W
Freiburg (64%)
L
Santa Clara (71%)
W
Casa Pia (53%)
D
Famalicão (69%)
W
Betis (70%)
Nacional logo Nacional
L
Santa Clara (71%)
L
AVS (59%)
W
Tondela (57%)
W
Alverca (59%)
L
Benfica (80%)
W
Estrela (49%)
L
Famalicão (74%)
L
Estoril (47%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Benfica A
2 - 2 D
80%
Freiburg A
1 - 3 L
69%
Estoril H
1 - 1 D
47%
Freiburg H
2 - 1 W
64%
Santa Clara A
1 - 2 L
71%
Casa Pia A
1 - 0 W
53%
Famalicão H
2 - 2 D
69%
Betis A
4 - 2 W
70%
Arouca H
1 - 0 W
57%
Betis H
1 - 1 D
65%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Santa Clara A
0 - 2 L
71%
AVS H
1 - 2 L
59%
Tondela A
2 - 0 W
57%
Alverca H
1 - 0 W
59%
Benfica A
0 - 2 L
80%
Estrela H
2 - 0 W
49%
Famalicão A
0 - 1 L
74%
Estoril H
0 - 1 L
47%
Moreirense A
1 - 1 D
55%
Braga H
1 - 2 L
64%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Braga has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 63.4) compared to Nacional (SoS: 53.1). This means Braga's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Braga holds the attacking edge with 1.6 goals per match versus Nacional's 0.8, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Braga conceding 1.4 and Nacional conceding 1.1 per match.

Braga has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Nacional has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Braga has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 14.6 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

In their recent Portuguese Primeira Liga match (2026-02-28), Braga prevailed 1-2 against Nacional. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Braga achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Nacional shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 1-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Nacional will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Braga will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Braga

Braga

VS
Nacional

Nacional

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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