Compare Braga vs Rayo

Braga vs Rayo Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Braga vs Rayo: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Braga Home Team

Rayo Away Team

Braga

55.4

D L D W L W D W W D

Last 10 Matches

Rayo

65.9

D W W W D W L L W W

Categories Won

Braga

Draw

Rayo

Performance Radar

Braga

Rayo

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

40%

4W, 4D, 2L

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match

1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

Clean Sheet

20%

2 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

60%

6 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

80%

8 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

Pau Víctor (5 goals)

Alemão (4 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 9

1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9

Home Win Rate

40%

2W / 5 matches

67%

4W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate

40%

2W / 5 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

63.4

League Difficulty: 81.4, Opponent Quality: 64.5

69.3

League Difficulty: 87.0, Opponent Quality: 63.0

Elite Opponent Record

33%

1W / 3 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

1.93

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.33

1.74

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.34

Adjusted Power Rating

55.4

Attack: 60.5, Defense: 60.5, Form: 45.4

65.9

Attack: 55.7, Defense: 79.5, Form: 71.6

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Braga

Rayo

Power Rating Breakdown

55.4

Overall

Attack 60.5

Defense 60.5

Form 45.4

Consistency 56.8

Power Rating Breakdown

65.9

Overall

Attack 55.7

Defense 79.5

Form 71.6

Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

81.4 vs 87.0

Opponent Quality

64.5 vs 63.0

Elite Opponent Record

33% vs 50%

Braga

Rayo

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Benfica A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 2 D

80%

Freiburg A

UEFA Europa League

1 - 3 L

69%

Estoril H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 1 D

47%

Freiburg H

UEFA Europa League

2 - 1 W

64%

Santa Clara A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

71%

Casa Pia A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 0 W

53%

Famalicão H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 2 D

69%

Betis A

UEFA Europa League

4 - 2 W

70%

Arouca H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 0 W

57%

Betis H

UEFA Europa League

1 - 1 D

65%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Girona H

Spanish La Liga

1 - 1 D

59%

Strasbourg A

UEFA Conference League

1 - 0 W

57%

Getafe A

Spanish La Liga

2 - 0 W

72%

Strasbourg H

UEFA Conference League

1 - 0 W

52%

Real Sociedad H

Spanish La Liga

3 - 3 D

61%

Espanyol H

Spanish La Liga

1 - 0 W

50%

AEK Athens A

UEFA Conference League

1 - 3 L

75%

Mallorca A

Spanish La Liga

0 - 3 L

73%

AEK Athens H

UEFA Conference League

3 - 0 W

70%

Elche H

Spanish La Liga

1 - 0 W

61%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 63.4 vs 69.3), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Braga averaging 1.6 and Rayo averaging 1.4 goals per match.

Rayo has the defensive edge, conceding 1.0 per match compared to Braga's 1.4.

Braga has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Rayo has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.7 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Rayo has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 10.5 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Braga

Rayo

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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