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Compare Sporting vs Nacional

Sporting vs Nacional Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Sporting vs Nacional: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Sporting Sporting Home Team
Nacional Nacional Away Team
Sporting
63.8
W W D D L D W L W W

Last 10 Matches

Nacional
40.8
L L W W L W L L D L

Categories Won

10

Sporting

4

Draw

1

Nacional

Performance Radar

Sporting
Nacional

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 3D, 2L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
2.2

22 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+11

+11

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
L. Suárez (4 goals)
J. Ramírez (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 13
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
55.6

League Difficulty: 82.6, Opponent Quality: 64.4

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.39

Actual: 2.2 | Diff: -0.19

0.96

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.16

Adjusted Power Rating
63.8

Attack: 77.4, Defense: 66.9, Form: 52.8

40.8

Attack: 27.5, Defense: 65.3, Form: 30.9

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

2
3

16-30'

1
4

31-45'

1
4

46-60'

1
6

61-75'

3
4

76-90+'

Sporting
Nacional
Sporting

Power Rating Breakdown

63.8

Overall

Attack 77.4
Defense 66.9
Form 52.8
Consistency 53.2
Nacional

Power Rating Breakdown

40.8

Overall

Attack 27.5
Defense 65.3
Form 30.9
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

82.6 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

64.4 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Sporting logo Sporting
W
Rio Ave (66%)
W
Vitória SC (54%)
D
Tondela (52%)
D
AVS (64%)
L
Benfica (75%)
D
Arsenal (77%)
W
Estrela (54%)
L
Arsenal (72%)
Nacional logo Nacional
L
Santa Clara (71%)
L
AVS (59%)
W
Tondela (57%)
W
Alverca (59%)
L
Benfica (80%)
W
Estrela (49%)
L
Famalicão (74%)
L
Estoril (47%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Rio Ave A
4 - 1 W
66%
Vitória SC H
5 - 1 W
54%
Tondela H
2 - 2 D
52%
AVS A
1 - 1 D
64%
Benfica H
1 - 2 L
75%
Arsenal A
0 - 0 D
77%
Estrela A
1 - 0 W
54%
Arsenal H
0 - 1 L
72%
Santa Clara H
4 - 2 W
66%
Alverca A
4 - 1 W
64%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Santa Clara A
0 - 2 L
71%
AVS H
1 - 2 L
59%
Tondela A
2 - 0 W
57%
Alverca H
1 - 0 W
59%
Benfica A
0 - 2 L
80%
Estrela H
2 - 0 W
49%
Famalicão A
0 - 1 L
74%
Estoril H
0 - 1 L
47%
Moreirense A
1 - 1 D
55%
Braga H
1 - 2 L
64%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 55.6 vs 53.1), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Sporting's attack is on another level, averaging 2.2 goals per match with L. Suárez leading the charge with 4 goals. Nacional manages just 0.8 per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Sporting conceding 1.1 and Nacional conceding 1.1 per match.

Sporting has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Nacional has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Sporting is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Sporting emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (63.8 vs 40.8) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Sporting

Sporting

VS
Nacional

Nacional

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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