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Compare St. Pauli vs Brøndby

St. Pauli vs Brøndby Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare St. Pauli vs Brøndby: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

St. Pauli St. Pauli Home Team
Brøndby Brøndby Away Team
St. Pauli
34.7
L L L D L D L L D W

Last 10 Matches

Brøndby
42.4
L D L W W L L D L D

Categories Won

3

St. Pauli

3

Draw

9

Brøndby

Performance Radar

St. Pauli
Brøndby

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
10%

1W, 3D, 6L

20%

2W, 3D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
0.6

6 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.7

17 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-11

-11

-1

-1

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Mathias Pereira Lage (2 goals)
J. Ambæk (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 3
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
0%

0W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
68.4

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 67.8

54.3

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 53.9

Elite Opponent Record
33%

1W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.82

Actual: 0.6 | Diff: -0.22

1.03

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: -0.03

Adjusted Power Rating
34.7

Attack: 23.7, Defense: 51.3, Form: 11.8

42.4

Attack: 34.8, Defense: 66.1, Form: 20.9

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

2

16-30'

1

31-45'

2
1

46-60'

3
1

61-75'

1
2

76-90+'

3
St. Pauli
Brøndby
St. Pauli

Power Rating Breakdown

34.7

Overall

Attack 23.7
Defense 51.3
Form 11.8
Consistency 74.8
Brøndby

Power Rating Breakdown

42.4

Overall

Attack 34.8
Defense 66.1
Form 20.9
Consistency 61.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

91.0 vs 55.0

Opponent Quality

67.8 vs 53.9

Elite Opponent Record

33% vs 0%
St. Pauli logo St. Pauli
L
Leipzig (84%)
L
Mainz 05 (65%)
L
Heidenheim (67%)
D
Köln (57%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
Union Berlin (57%)
L
Freiburg (67%)
L
M'gladbach (68%)
Brøndby logo Brøndby
L
AGF (57%)
D
Nordsjælland (55%)
L
Sønderjyske (48%)
W
Viborg (55%)
W
Sønderjyske (43%)
L
Midtjylland (52%)
L
Nordsjælland (60%)
D
AGF (62%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Leipzig A
1 - 2 L
84%
Mainz 05 H
1 - 2 L
65%
Heidenheim A
0 - 2 L
67%
Köln H
1 - 1 D
57%
Bayern Munich H
0 - 5 L
81%
Union Berlin A
1 - 1 D
57%
Freiburg H
1 - 2 L
67%
M'gladbach A
0 - 2 L
68%
Frankfurt H
0 - 0 D
62%
Hoffenheim A
1 - 0 W
70%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
AGF H
0 - 2 L
57%
Nordsjælland H
1 - 1 D
55%
Sønderjyske A
0 - 3 L
48%
Viborg A
1 - 0 W
55%
Sønderjyske H
6 - 0 W
43%
Midtjylland H
1 - 2 L
52%
Nordsjælland A
1 - 2 L
60%
AGF A
0 - 0 D
62%
Viborg H
0 - 1 L
50%
Midtjylland A
0 - 0 D
57%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

St. Pauli has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 68.4) compared to Brøndby (SoS: 54.3). This means St. Pauli's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Brøndby holds the attacking edge with 1.0 goals per match versus St. Pauli's 0.6, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Brøndby has the defensive edge, conceding 1.1 per match compared to St. Pauli's 1.7.

St. Pauli has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Brøndby has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.2 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Brøndby has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 7.7 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

St. Pauli

St. Pauli

VS
Brøndby

Brøndby

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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