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Compare St. Pauli vs Estrela

St. Pauli vs Estrela Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare St. Pauli vs Estrela: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

St. Pauli St. Pauli Home Team
Estrela Estrela Away Team
St. Pauli
34.7
L L L D L D L L D W

Last 10 Matches

Estrela
39.2
D L L L L L W L D D

Categories Won

4

St. Pauli

2

Draw

9

Estrela

Performance Radar

St. Pauli
Estrela

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
10%

1W, 3D, 6L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
0.6

6 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.7

17 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-11

-11

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Mathias Pereira Lage (2 goals)
Rodrigo Pinho (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 3
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
0%

0W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
68.4

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 67.8

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record
33%

1W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.82

Actual: 0.6 | Diff: -0.22

1.0

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: 0.0

Adjusted Power Rating
34.7

Attack: 23.7, Defense: 51.3, Form: 11.8

39.2

Attack: 34.4, Defense: 58.4, Form: 10.3

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

2
2

16-30'

31-45'

2
1

46-60'

2
1

61-75'

2
2

76-90+'

2
St. Pauli
Estrela
St. Pauli

Power Rating Breakdown

34.7

Overall

Attack 23.7
Defense 51.3
Form 11.8
Consistency 74.8
Estrela

Power Rating Breakdown

39.2

Overall

Attack 34.4
Defense 58.4
Form 10.3
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

91.0 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

67.8 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

33% vs 0%
St. Pauli logo St. Pauli
L
Leipzig (84%)
L
Mainz 05 (65%)
L
Heidenheim (67%)
D
Köln (57%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
Union Berlin (57%)
L
Freiburg (67%)
L
M'gladbach (68%)
Estrela logo Estrela
D
Famalicão (69%)
L
Moreirense (55%)
L
Porto (69%)
L
Arouca (62%)
L
Sporting (70%)
L
Nacional (57%)
W
Casa Pia (48%)
L
Rio Ave (66%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Leipzig A
1 - 2 L
84%
Mainz 05 H
1 - 2 L
65%
Heidenheim A
0 - 2 L
67%
Köln H
1 - 1 D
57%
Bayern Munich H
0 - 5 L
81%
Union Berlin A
1 - 1 D
57%
Freiburg H
1 - 2 L
67%
M'gladbach A
0 - 2 L
68%
Frankfurt H
0 - 0 D
62%
Hoffenheim A
1 - 0 W
70%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Famalicão H
0 - 0 D
69%
Moreirense A
2 - 3 L
55%
Porto H
1 - 2 L
69%
Arouca A
0 - 1 L
62%
Sporting H
0 - 1 L
70%
Nacional A
0 - 2 L
57%
Casa Pia H
4 - 0 W
48%
Rio Ave A
1 - 2 L
66%
Gil Vicente H
2 - 2 D
55%
AVS A
0 - 0 D
64%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.

St. Pauli has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 68.4) compared to Estrela (SoS: 53.1). This means St. Pauli's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Estrela holds the attacking edge with 1.0 goals per match versus St. Pauli's 0.6, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Estrela has the defensive edge, conceding 1.3 per match compared to St. Pauli's 1.7.

St. Pauli has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.3 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

St. Pauli

St. Pauli

VS
Estrela

Estrela

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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