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Compare St. Pauli vs Jagiellonia

St. Pauli vs Jagiellonia Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare St. Pauli vs Jagiellonia: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

St. Pauli St. Pauli Home Team
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia Away Team
St. Pauli
34.7
L L L D L D L L D W

Last 10 Matches

Jagiellonia
45.0
W L W D D L W L L D

Categories Won

2

St. Pauli

2

Draw

11

Jagiellonia

Performance Radar

St. Pauli
Jagiellonia

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
10%

1W, 3D, 6L

30%

3W, 3D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
0.6

6 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.7

17 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-11

-11

-1

-1

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Mathias Pereira Lage (2 goals)
A. Pululu (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 3
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
0%

0W / 5 matches

29%

2W / 7 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
68.4

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 67.8

54.4

League Difficulty: 57.0, Opponent Quality: 52.7

Elite Opponent Record
33%

1W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.82

Actual: 0.6 | Diff: -0.22

1.23

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: +0.17

Adjusted Power Rating
34.7

Attack: 23.7, Defense: 51.3, Form: 11.8

45.0

Attack: 48.7, Defense: 52.2, Form: 31.3

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

4
2

16-30'

3

31-45'

3
1

46-60'

1

61-75'

1
2

76-90+'

3
St. Pauli
Jagiellonia
St. Pauli

Power Rating Breakdown

34.7

Overall

Attack 23.7
Defense 51.3
Form 11.8
Consistency 74.8
Jagiellonia

Power Rating Breakdown

45.0

Overall

Attack 48.7
Defense 52.2
Form 31.3
Consistency 53.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

91.0 vs 57.0

Opponent Quality

67.8 vs 52.7

Elite Opponent Record

33% vs 0%
St. Pauli logo St. Pauli
L
Leipzig (84%)
L
Mainz 05 (65%)
L
Heidenheim (67%)
D
Köln (57%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
Union Berlin (57%)
L
Freiburg (67%)
L
M'gladbach (68%)
Jagiellonia logo Jagiellonia
W
Pogoń (49%)
L
Górnik (53%)
W
Arka (49%)
D
Kielce (48%)
D
Lech (64%)
L
Wisła Płock (42%)
W
GKS Katowice (59%)
L
Piast (53%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Leipzig A
1 - 2 L
84%
Mainz 05 H
1 - 2 L
65%
Heidenheim A
0 - 2 L
67%
Köln H
1 - 1 D
57%
Bayern Munich H
0 - 5 L
81%
Union Berlin A
1 - 1 D
57%
Freiburg H
1 - 2 L
67%
M'gladbach A
0 - 2 L
68%
Frankfurt H
0 - 0 D
62%
Hoffenheim A
1 - 0 W
70%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Pogoń H
3 - 2 W
49%
Górnik H
1 - 2 L
53%
Arka A
3 - 0 W
49%
Kielce A
1 - 1 D
48%
Lech H
0 - 0 D
64%
Wisła Płock H
1 - 2 L
42%
GKS Katowice H
2 - 1 W
59%
Piast H
1 - 2 L
53%
Lechia A
0 - 3 L
51%
Legia H
2 - 2 D
59%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

St. Pauli has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 68.4) compared to Jagiellonia (SoS: 54.4). This means St. Pauli's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Jagiellonia holds the attacking edge with 1.4 goals per match versus St. Pauli's 0.6, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with St. Pauli conceding 1.7 and Jagiellonia conceding 1.5 per match.

St. Pauli has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Jagiellonia has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Jagiellonia has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 10.3 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

St. Pauli

St. Pauli

VS
Jagiellonia

Jagiellonia

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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