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Compare St. Pauli vs Köln

St. Pauli vs Köln Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare St. Pauli vs Köln: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

St. Pauli St. Pauli Home Team
Köln Köln Away Team
St. Pauli
34.7
L L L D L D L L D W

Last 10 Matches

Köln
41.1
L D L D W D D D L L

Categories Won

5

St. Pauli

2

Draw

8

Köln

Performance Radar

St. Pauli
Köln

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
10%

1W, 3D, 6L

10%

1W, 5D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
0.6

6 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.7

17 / 10 matches

1.9

19 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-11

-11

-4

-4

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

90%

9 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Mathias Pereira Lage (2 goals)
S. El Mala (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 3
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 9
Home Win Rate
0%

0W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
68.4

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 67.8

58.7

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 63.6

Elite Opponent Record
33%

1W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.82

Actual: 0.6 | Diff: -0.22

1.87

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.37

Adjusted Power Rating
34.7

Attack: 23.7, Defense: 51.3, Form: 11.8

41.1

Attack: 54.4, Defense: 39.9, Form: 10.9

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

4
2

16-30'

31-45'

2
1

46-60'

1

61-75'

3
2

76-90+'

6
St. Pauli
Köln
St. Pauli

Power Rating Breakdown

34.7

Overall

Attack 23.7
Defense 51.3
Form 11.8
Consistency 74.8
Köln

Power Rating Breakdown

41.1

Overall

Attack 54.4
Defense 39.9
Form 10.9
Consistency 77.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

91.0 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

67.8 vs 63.6

Elite Opponent Record

33% vs 0%
St. Pauli logo St. Pauli
L
Leipzig (84%)
L
Mainz 05 (65%)
L
Heidenheim (67%)
D
Köln (57%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
Union Berlin (57%)
L
Freiburg (67%)
L
M'gladbach (68%)
Köln logo Köln
L
Heidenheim (62%)
D
Union Berlin (57%)
L
Leverkusen (65%)
D
St. Pauli (55%)
W
Bremen (62%)
D
Frankfurt (67%)
D
M'gladbach (63%)
D
Hamburg (63%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Leipzig A
1 - 2 L
84%
Mainz 05 H
1 - 2 L
65%
Heidenheim A
0 - 2 L
67%
Köln H
1 - 1 D
57%
Bayern Munich H
0 - 5 L
81%
Union Berlin A
1 - 1 D
57%
Freiburg H
1 - 2 L
67%
M'gladbach A
0 - 2 L
68%
Frankfurt H
0 - 0 D
62%
Hoffenheim A
1 - 0 W
70%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Heidenheim H
1 - 3 L
62%
Union Berlin A
2 - 2 D
57%
Leverkusen H
1 - 2 L
65%
St. Pauli A
1 - 1 D
55%
Bremen H
3 - 1 W
62%
Frankfurt A
2 - 2 D
67%
M'gladbach H
3 - 3 D
63%
Hamburg A
1 - 1 D
63%
Dortmund H
1 - 2 L
71%
Augsburg A
0 - 2 L
71%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 68.4 vs 58.7), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Köln holds the attacking edge with 1.5 goals per match versus St. Pauli's 0.6, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with St. Pauli conceding 1.7 and Köln conceding 1.9 per match.

St. Pauli has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Köln has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 6.4 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

These two teams drew 1-1 in the German Bundesliga (2026-04-17). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

St. Pauli

St. Pauli

VS
Köln

Köln

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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