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Compare St. Pauli vs Union Berlin

St. Pauli vs Union Berlin Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare St. Pauli vs Union Berlin: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

St. Pauli St. Pauli Home Team
Union Berlin Union Berlin Away Team
St. Pauli
34.7
L L L D L D L L D W

Last 10 Matches

Union Berlin
38.8
W D L L L D L W L L

Categories Won

2

St. Pauli

3

Draw

10

Union Berlin

Performance Radar

St. Pauli
Union Berlin

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
10%

1W, 3D, 6L

20%

2W, 2D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
0.6

6 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.7

17 / 10 matches

2.1

21 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-11

-11

-10

-10

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Mathias Pereira Lage (2 goals)
O. Burke (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 3
1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 9
Home Win Rate
0%

0W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
68.4

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 67.8

72.2

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 66.6

Elite Opponent Record
33%

1W / 3 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.82

Actual: 0.6 | Diff: -0.22

1.55

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: -0.45

Adjusted Power Rating
34.7

Attack: 23.7, Defense: 51.3, Form: 11.8

38.8

Attack: 44.8, Defense: 36.7, Form: 24.4

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

2

16-30'

1

31-45'

1
1

46-60'

1
1

61-75'

2
2

76-90+'

6
St. Pauli
Union Berlin
St. Pauli

Power Rating Breakdown

34.7

Overall

Attack 23.7
Defense 51.3
Form 11.8
Consistency 74.8
Union Berlin

Power Rating Breakdown

38.8

Overall

Attack 44.8
Defense 36.7
Form 24.4
Consistency 59.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

91.0 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

67.8 vs 66.6

Elite Opponent Record

33% vs 50%
St. Pauli logo St. Pauli
L
Leipzig (84%)
L
Mainz 05 (65%)
L
Heidenheim (67%)
D
Köln (57%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
Union Berlin (57%)
L
Freiburg (67%)
L
M'gladbach (68%)
Union Berlin logo Union Berlin
W
Mainz 05 (70%)
D
Köln (57%)
L
Leipzig (84%)
L
Wolfsburg (50%)
L
Heidenheim (67%)
D
St. Pauli (50%)
L
Bayern Munich (86%)
W
Freiburg (72%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Leipzig A
1 - 2 L
84%
Mainz 05 H
1 - 2 L
65%
Heidenheim A
0 - 2 L
67%
Köln H
1 - 1 D
57%
Bayern Munich H
0 - 5 L
81%
Union Berlin A
1 - 1 D
57%
Freiburg H
1 - 2 L
67%
M'gladbach A
0 - 2 L
68%
Frankfurt H
0 - 0 D
62%
Hoffenheim A
1 - 0 W
70%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Mainz 05 A
3 - 1 W
70%
Köln H
2 - 2 D
57%
Leipzig A
1 - 3 L
84%
Wolfsburg H
1 - 2 L
50%
Heidenheim A
1 - 3 L
67%
St. Pauli H
1 - 1 D
50%
Bayern Munich A
0 - 4 L
86%
Freiburg A
1 - 0 W
72%
Bremen H
1 - 4 L
62%
M'gladbach A
0 - 1 L
68%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 68.4 vs 72.2), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Union Berlin holds the attacking edge with 1.1 goals per match versus St. Pauli's 0.6, though the gap is not insurmountable.

St. Pauli has the defensive edge, conceding 1.7 per match compared to Union Berlin's 2.1.

St. Pauli has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Union Berlin has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

These two teams drew 1-1 in the German Bundesliga (2026-04-05). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

St. Pauli

St. Pauli

VS
Union Berlin

Union Berlin

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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