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Compare Sturm vs Celta Vigo

Sturm vs Celta Vigo Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Sturm vs Celta Vigo: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Sturm Sturm Home Team
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo Away Team
Sturm
59.4
W D D D D D W D W W

Last 10 Matches

Celta Vigo
41.2
L W W L L L L L W L

Categories Won

9

Sturm

2

Draw

4

Celta Vigo

Performance Radar

Sturm
Celta Vigo

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 6D, 0L

30%

3W, 0D, 7L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.9

9 / 10 matches

2.2

22 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+9

+9

-8

-8

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
20%

2 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
O. Kiteishvili (5 goals)
Ferran Jutglà (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 10
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 8
Home Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
52.6

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 51.0

67.1

League Difficulty: 91.4, Opponent Quality: 69.3

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.71

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: +0.09

1.76

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.36

Adjusted Power Rating
59.4

Attack: 61.6, Defense: 71.8, Form: 41.0

41.2

Attack: 54.6, Defense: 31.2, Form: 35.1

Goal Timing Analysis

5

0-15'

2
1

16-30'

3

31-45'

1
6

46-60'

3
1

61-75'

2
5

76-90+'

3
Sturm
Celta Vigo
Sturm

Power Rating Breakdown

59.4

Overall

Attack 61.6
Defense 71.8
Form 41.0
Consistency 71.2
Celta Vigo

Power Rating Breakdown

41.2

Overall

Attack 54.6
Defense 31.2
Form 35.1
Consistency 43.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

55.0 vs 91.4

Opponent Quality

51.0 vs 69.3

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 25%
Sturm logo Sturm
W
Hartberg (44%)
D
RB Salzburg (51%)
D
Austria (48%)
D
LASK (64%)
D
LASK (69%)
D
Hartberg (39%)
W
Rapid Vienna (53%)
D
RB Salzburg (46%)
Celta Vigo logo Celta Vigo
L
Levante (71%)
W
Atlético (66%)
W
Elche (61%)
L
Villarreal (78%)
L
Barcelona (91%)
L
Freiburg (64%)
L
Oviedo (61%)
L
Freiburg (69%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Hartberg A
4 - 2 W
44%
RB Salzburg A
1 - 1 D
51%
Austria H
1 - 1 D
48%
LASK H
1 - 1 D
64%
LASK A
1 - 1 D
69%
Hartberg H
0 - 0 D
39%
Rapid Vienna A
2 - 0 W
53%
RB Salzburg H
1 - 1 D
46%
Austria A
5 - 2 W
53%
Altach H
2 - 0 W
43%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Levante H
2 - 3 L
71%
Atlético A
1 - 0 W
66%
Elche H
3 - 1 W
61%
Villarreal A
1 - 2 L
78%
Barcelona A
0 - 1 L
91%
Freiburg H
1 - 3 L
64%
Oviedo H
0 - 3 L
61%
Freiburg A
0 - 3 L
69%
Valencia A
3 - 2 W
72%
Alavés H
3 - 4 L
60%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Celta Vigo has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 67.1) compared to Sturm (SoS: 52.6). This means Celta Vigo's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Sturm holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus Celta Vigo's 1.4, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Sturm is far superior, conceding just 0.9 goals per match with 3 clean sheets, while Celta Vigo leaks 2.2 per match.

Sturm has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Celta Vigo has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Sturm is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.1 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Sturm emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (59.4 vs 41.2) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Sturm

Sturm

VS
Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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