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Compare Sturm vs Freiburg

Sturm vs Freiburg Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Sturm vs Freiburg: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Sturm Sturm Home Team
Freiburg Freiburg Away Team
Sturm
59.4
W D D D D D W D W W

Last 10 Matches

Freiburg
56.4
L W D L L L W W W W

Categories Won

7

Sturm

2

Draw

6

Freiburg

Performance Radar

Sturm
Freiburg

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 6D, 0L

50%

5W, 1D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.9

9 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+9

+9

+2

+2

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
20%

2 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
O. Kiteishvili (5 goals)
I. Matanović (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 10
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 7
Home Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

75%

3W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
52.6

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 51.0

63.6

League Difficulty: 84.0, Opponent Quality: 62.1

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.71

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: +0.09

2.09

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.39

Adjusted Power Rating
59.4

Attack: 61.6, Defense: 71.8, Form: 41.0

56.4

Attack: 64.4, Defense: 56.8, Form: 56.8

Goal Timing Analysis

5

0-15'

1
1

16-30'

5

31-45'

4
6

46-60'

2
1

61-75'

2
5

76-90+'

3
Sturm
Freiburg
Sturm

Power Rating Breakdown

59.4

Overall

Attack 61.6
Defense 71.8
Form 41.0
Consistency 71.2
Freiburg

Power Rating Breakdown

56.4

Overall

Attack 64.4
Defense 56.8
Form 56.8
Consistency 38.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

55.0 vs 84.0

Opponent Quality

51.0 vs 62.1

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 33%
Sturm logo Sturm
W
Hartberg (44%)
D
RB Salzburg (51%)
D
Austria (48%)
D
LASK (64%)
D
LASK (69%)
D
Hartberg (39%)
W
Rapid Vienna (53%)
D
RB Salzburg (46%)
Freiburg logo Freiburg
L
Hamburg (63%)
W
Braga (66%)
D
Wolfsburg (50%)
L
Braga (71%)
L
Dortmund (76%)
L
Stuttgart (57%)
W
Heidenheim (62%)
W
Celta Vigo (56%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Hartberg A
4 - 2 W
44%
RB Salzburg A
1 - 1 D
51%
Austria H
1 - 1 D
48%
LASK H
1 - 1 D
64%
LASK A
1 - 1 D
69%
Hartberg H
0 - 0 D
39%
Rapid Vienna A
2 - 0 W
53%
RB Salzburg H
1 - 1 D
46%
Austria A
5 - 2 W
53%
Altach H
2 - 0 W
43%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Hamburg A
2 - 3 L
63%
Braga H
3 - 1 W
66%
Wolfsburg H
1 - 1 D
50%
Braga A
1 - 2 L
71%
Dortmund A
0 - 4 L
76%
Stuttgart A
1 - 2 L
57%
Heidenheim H
2 - 1 W
62%
Celta Vigo A
3 - 1 W
56%
Mainz 05 A
1 - 0 W
70%
Celta Vigo H
3 - 0 W
50%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.

Freiburg has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 63.6) compared to Sturm (SoS: 52.6). This means Freiburg's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Sturm averaging 1.8 and Freiburg averaging 1.7 goals per match.

Sturm has the defensive edge, conceding 0.9 per match compared to Freiburg's 1.5.

Sturm has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Freiburg has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Freiburg, who boasts a 75% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Sturm is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

This is a genuine coin-flip. Both teams are remarkably evenly matched across all metrics, and the outcome will likely be decided by the day's form, tactical adjustments, and perhaps a moment of individual brilliance.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Sturm

Sturm

VS
Freiburg

Freiburg

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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