Compare Sturm vs Pogoń

Sturm vs Pogoń Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Sturm vs Pogoń: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Sturm Home Team

Pogoń Away Team

Sturm

59.4

W D D D D D W D W W

Last 10 Matches

Pogoń

46.9

L W D L W L L W L W

Categories Won

Sturm

Draw

Pogoń

Performance Radar

Sturm

Pogoń

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

40%

4W, 6D, 0L

40%

4W, 1D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match

1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

0.9

9 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

Clean Sheet

30%

3 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

20%

2 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

70%

7 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

O. Kiteishvili (5 goals)

P. Mukairu (3 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 10

1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 7

Home Win Rate

20%

1W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate

60%

3W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

52.6

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 51.0

54.5

League Difficulty: 57.0, Opponent Quality: 52.8

Elite Opponent Record

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

1.71

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: +0.09

1.32

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.02

Adjusted Power Rating

59.4

Attack: 61.6, Defense: 71.8, Form: 41.0

46.9

Attack: 45.3, Defense: 59.2, Form: 41.8

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Sturm

Pogoń

Power Rating Breakdown

59.4

Overall

Attack 61.6

Defense 71.8

Form 41.0

Consistency 71.2

Power Rating Breakdown

46.9

Overall

Attack 45.3

Defense 59.2

Form 41.8

Consistency 39.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

55.0 vs 57.0

Opponent Quality

51.0 vs 52.8

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%

Sturm

Pogoń

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Hartberg A

Austrian Bundesliga

4 - 2 W

44%

RB Salzburg A

Austrian Bundesliga

1 - 1 D

51%

Austria H

Austrian Bundesliga

1 - 1 D

48%

LASK H

Austrian Bundesliga

1 - 1 D

64%

LASK A

Austrian Bundesliga

1 - 1 D

69%

Hartberg H

Austrian Bundesliga

0 - 0 D

39%

Rapid Vienna A

Austrian Bundesliga

2 - 0 W

53%

RB Salzburg H

Austrian Bundesliga

1 - 1 D

46%

Austria A

Austrian Bundesliga

5 - 2 W

53%

Altach H

Austrian Bundesliga

2 - 0 W

43%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Jagiellonia A

Polish Ekstraklasa

2 - 3 L

53%

Wisła Płock H

Polish Ekstraklasa

3 - 0 W

42%

Cracovia A

Polish Ekstraklasa

1 - 1 D

45%

Lech H

Polish Ekstraklasa

1 - 2 L

64%

Piast A

Polish Ekstraklasa

2 - 0 W

58%

Legia H

Polish Ekstraklasa

0 - 2 L

59%

Lechia A

Polish Ekstraklasa

1 - 2 L

51%

Kielce H

Polish Ekstraklasa

2 - 1 W

43%

Raków A

Polish Ekstraklasa

0 - 2 L

59%

Widzew H

Polish Ekstraklasa

1 - 0 W

54%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 52.6 vs 54.5), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Sturm holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus Pogoń's 1.3, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Sturm has the defensive edge, conceding 0.9 per match compared to Pogoń's 1.3.

Sturm has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Pogoń has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Sturm is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Sturm has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 12.5 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Sturm

Pogoń

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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