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Compare Thun vs Lille

Thun vs Lille Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Thun vs Lille: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Thun Thun Home Team
Lille Lille Away Team
Thun
41.4
L L L W L L W W D W

Last 10 Matches

Lille
72.8
W D W D W W W L W L

Categories Won

4

Thun

1

Draw

10

Lille

Performance Radar

Thun
Lille

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 1D, 5L

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

0.6

6 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+1

+1

+8

+8

Clean Sheet
0%

0 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
E. Rastoder (3 goals)
Matías Fernández (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

83%

5W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
37.5

League Difficulty: 49.0, Opponent Quality: 51.2

75.1

League Difficulty: 85.8, Opponent Quality: 68.6

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

67%

4W / 6 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.37

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.23

1.66

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.26

Adjusted Power Rating
41.4

Attack: 46.7, Defense: 43.8, Form: 35.0

72.8

Attack: 58.4, Defense: 100, Form: 75.1

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

1
3

16-30'

3
4

31-45'

1
4

46-60'

6
3

61-75'

1
2

76-90+'

2
Thun
Lille
Thun

Power Rating Breakdown

41.4

Overall

Attack 46.7
Defense 43.8
Form 35.0
Consistency 39.7
Lille

Power Rating Breakdown

72.8

Overall

Attack 58.4
Defense 100
Form 75.1
Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

49.0 vs 85.8

Opponent Quality

51.2 vs 68.6

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 67%
Thun logo Thun
L
Sion (70%)
L
Basel (55%)
L
Lugano (54%)
W
Basel (50%)
L
Lugano (55%)
L
Zürich (38%)
W
GC Zürich (27%)
W
Young Boys (56%)
Lille logo Lille
W
Monaco (77%)
D
Le Havre (53%)
W
Paris FC (77%)
D
Nice (55%)
W
Toulouse (62%)
W
Lens (71%)
W
Marseille (66%)
L
Aston Villa (75%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Sion A
0 - 2 L
70%
Basel A
1 - 3 L
55%
Lugano H
0 - 1 L
54%
Basel H
3 - 1 W
50%
Lugano A
0 - 1 L
55%
Zürich A
1 - 2 L
38%
GC Zürich H
5 - 1 W
27%
Young Boys A
2 - 1 W
56%
St.Gallen H
2 - 2 D
55%
Luzern H
2 - 1 W
52%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Monaco A
1 - 0 W
77%
Le Havre H
1 - 1 D
53%
Paris FC A
1 - 0 W
77%
Nice H
0 - 0 D
55%
Toulouse A
4 - 0 W
62%
Lens H
3 - 0 W
71%
Marseille A
2 - 1 W
66%
Aston Villa A
0 - 2 L
75%
Rennes A
2 - 1 W
80%
Aston Villa H
0 - 1 L
70%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Lille has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 75.1) compared to Thun (SoS: 37.5). This means Lille's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Thun averaging 1.6 and Lille averaging 1.4 goals per match.

Defensively, Lille is far superior, conceding just 0.6 goals per match with 5 clean sheets, while Thun leaks 1.5 per match.

Lille has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 4 of 6 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Lille is a strong road team with a 83% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Lille is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (58.4), defense (100), and form (75.1) leaves little room for doubt. Thun will need an exceptional performance to compete.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Thun

Thun

VS
Lille

Lille

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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