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Compare Thun vs Pogoń

Thun vs Pogoń Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Thun vs Pogoń: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Thun Thun Home Team
Pogoń Pogoń Away Team
Thun
41.4
L L L W L L W W D W

Last 10 Matches

Pogoń
46.9
L W D L W L L W L W

Categories Won

5

Thun

6

Draw

4

Pogoń

Performance Radar

Thun
Pogoń

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 1D, 5L

40%

4W, 1D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+1

+1

0

0

Clean Sheet
0%

0 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
E. Rastoder (3 goals)
P. Mukairu (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 7
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
37.5

League Difficulty: 49.0, Opponent Quality: 51.2

54.5

League Difficulty: 57.0, Opponent Quality: 52.8

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.37

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.23

1.32

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.02

Adjusted Power Rating
41.4

Attack: 46.7, Defense: 43.8, Form: 35.0

46.9

Attack: 45.3, Defense: 59.2, Form: 41.8

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

3

16-30'

2
4

31-45'

2
4

46-60'

3
3

61-75'

2
2

76-90+'

4
Thun
Pogoń
Thun

Power Rating Breakdown

41.4

Overall

Attack 46.7
Defense 43.8
Form 35.0
Consistency 39.7
Pogoń

Power Rating Breakdown

46.9

Overall

Attack 45.3
Defense 59.2
Form 41.8
Consistency 39.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

49.0 vs 57.0

Opponent Quality

51.2 vs 52.8

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Thun logo Thun
L
Sion (70%)
L
Basel (55%)
L
Lugano (54%)
W
Basel (50%)
L
Lugano (55%)
L
Zürich (38%)
W
GC Zürich (27%)
W
Young Boys (56%)
Pogoń logo Pogoń
L
Jagiellonia (53%)
W
Wisła Płock (42%)
D
Cracovia (45%)
L
Lech (64%)
W
Piast (58%)
L
Legia (59%)
L
Lechia (51%)
W
Kielce (43%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Sion A
0 - 2 L
70%
Basel A
1 - 3 L
55%
Lugano H
0 - 1 L
54%
Basel H
3 - 1 W
50%
Lugano A
0 - 1 L
55%
Zürich A
1 - 2 L
38%
GC Zürich H
5 - 1 W
27%
Young Boys A
2 - 1 W
56%
St.Gallen H
2 - 2 D
55%
Luzern H
2 - 1 W
52%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Jagiellonia A
2 - 3 L
53%
Wisła Płock H
3 - 0 W
42%
Cracovia A
1 - 1 D
45%
Lech H
1 - 2 L
64%
Piast A
2 - 0 W
58%
Legia H
0 - 2 L
59%
Lechia A
1 - 2 L
51%
Kielce H
2 - 1 W
43%
Raków A
0 - 2 L
59%
Widzew H
1 - 0 W
54%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Pogoń has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 54.5) compared to Thun (SoS: 37.5). This means Pogoń's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Thun holds the attacking edge with 1.6 goals per match versus Pogoń's 1.3, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Thun conceding 1.5 and Pogoń conceding 1.3 per match.

Pogoń has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Pogoń has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 5.5 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Thun

Thun

VS
Pogoń

Pogoń

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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