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Compare Thun vs Leipzig

Thun vs Leipzig Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Thun vs Leipzig: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Thun Thun Home Team
Leipzig Leipzig Away Team
Thun
41.4
L L L W L L W W D W

Last 10 Matches

Leipzig
74.6
W L W W W W W L W W

Categories Won

0

Thun

3

Draw

12

Leipzig

Performance Radar

Thun
Leipzig

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 1D, 5L

80%

8W, 0D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

2.1

21 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+1

+1

+10

+10

Clean Sheet
0%

0 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
E. Rastoder (3 goals)
Y. Diomande (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 11
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

100%

5W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
37.5

League Difficulty: 49.0, Opponent Quality: 51.2

58.7

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 63.8

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.37

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.23

2.71

Actual: 2.1 | Diff: -0.61

Adjusted Power Rating
41.4

Attack: 46.7, Defense: 43.8, Form: 35.0

74.6

Attack: 76.1, Defense: 68.8, Form: 87.0

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

1
3

16-30'

6
4

31-45'

3
4

46-60'

3
3

61-75'

2
2

76-90+'

6
Thun
Leipzig
Thun

Power Rating Breakdown

41.4

Overall

Attack 46.7
Defense 43.8
Form 35.0
Consistency 39.7
Leipzig

Power Rating Breakdown

74.6

Overall

Attack 76.1
Defense 68.8
Form 87.0
Consistency 56.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

49.0 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

51.2 vs 63.8

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Thun logo Thun
L
Sion (70%)
L
Basel (55%)
L
Lugano (54%)
W
Basel (50%)
L
Lugano (55%)
L
Zürich (38%)
W
GC Zürich (27%)
W
Young Boys (56%)
Leipzig logo Leipzig
W
St. Pauli (50%)
L
Leverkusen (70%)
W
Union Berlin (52%)
W
Frankfurt (67%)
W
M'gladbach (63%)
W
Bremen (67%)
W
Hoffenheim (65%)
L
Stuttgart (75%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Sion A
0 - 2 L
70%
Basel A
1 - 3 L
55%
Lugano H
0 - 1 L
54%
Basel H
3 - 1 W
50%
Lugano A
0 - 1 L
55%
Zürich A
1 - 2 L
38%
GC Zürich H
5 - 1 W
27%
Young Boys A
2 - 1 W
56%
St.Gallen H
2 - 2 D
55%
Luzern H
2 - 1 W
52%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
St. Pauli H
2 - 1 W
50%
Leverkusen A
1 - 4 L
70%
Union Berlin H
3 - 1 W
52%
Frankfurt A
3 - 1 W
67%
M'gladbach H
1 - 0 W
63%
Bremen A
2 - 1 W
67%
Hoffenheim H
5 - 0 W
65%
Stuttgart A
0 - 1 L
75%
Augsburg H
2 - 1 W
66%
Hamburg A
2 - 1 W
63%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Leipzig has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 58.7) compared to Thun (SoS: 37.5). This means Leipzig's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Leipzig holds the attacking edge with 2.1 goals per match versus Thun's 1.6, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Leipzig has the defensive edge, conceding 1.1 per match compared to Thun's 1.5.

The home advantage factor favors Leipzig, who boasts a 100% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Leipzig is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Leipzig is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (76.1), defense (68.8), and form (87.0) leaves little room for doubt. Thun will need an exceptional performance to compete.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Thun

Thun

VS
Leipzig

Leipzig

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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