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Compare Thun vs St. Pauli

Thun vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Thun vs St. Pauli: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Thun Thun Home Team
St. Pauli St. Pauli Away Team
Thun
41.4
L L L W L L W W D W

Last 10 Matches

St. Pauli
34.7
L L L D L D L L D W

Categories Won

10

Thun

2

Draw

3

St. Pauli

Performance Radar

Thun
St. Pauli

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 1D, 5L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

0.6

6 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+1

+1

-11

-11

Clean Sheet
0%

0 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
E. Rastoder (3 goals)
Mathias Pereira Lage (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 3
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
37.5

League Difficulty: 49.0, Opponent Quality: 51.2

68.4

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 67.8

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.37

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.23

0.82

Actual: 0.6 | Diff: -0.22

Adjusted Power Rating
41.4

Attack: 46.7, Defense: 43.8, Form: 35.0

34.7

Attack: 23.7, Defense: 51.3, Form: 11.8

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

3

16-30'

2
4

31-45'

4

46-60'

1
3

61-75'

1
2

76-90+'

2
Thun
St. Pauli
Thun

Power Rating Breakdown

41.4

Overall

Attack 46.7
Defense 43.8
Form 35.0
Consistency 39.7
St. Pauli

Power Rating Breakdown

34.7

Overall

Attack 23.7
Defense 51.3
Form 11.8
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

49.0 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

51.2 vs 67.8

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 33%
Thun logo Thun
L
Sion (70%)
L
Basel (55%)
L
Lugano (54%)
W
Basel (50%)
L
Lugano (55%)
L
Zürich (38%)
W
GC Zürich (27%)
W
Young Boys (56%)
St. Pauli logo St. Pauli
L
Leipzig (84%)
L
Mainz 05 (65%)
L
Heidenheim (67%)
D
Köln (57%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
Union Berlin (57%)
L
Freiburg (67%)
L
M'gladbach (68%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Sion A
0 - 2 L
70%
Basel A
1 - 3 L
55%
Lugano H
0 - 1 L
54%
Basel H
3 - 1 W
50%
Lugano A
0 - 1 L
55%
Zürich A
1 - 2 L
38%
GC Zürich H
5 - 1 W
27%
Young Boys A
2 - 1 W
56%
St.Gallen H
2 - 2 D
55%
Luzern H
2 - 1 W
52%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Leipzig A
1 - 2 L
84%
Mainz 05 H
1 - 2 L
65%
Heidenheim A
0 - 2 L
67%
Köln H
1 - 1 D
57%
Bayern Munich H
0 - 5 L
81%
Union Berlin A
1 - 1 D
57%
Freiburg H
1 - 2 L
67%
M'gladbach A
0 - 2 L
68%
Frankfurt H
0 - 0 D
62%
Hoffenheim A
1 - 0 W
70%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

St. Pauli has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 68.4) compared to Thun (SoS: 37.5). This means St. Pauli's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Thun's attack is on another level, averaging 1.6 goals per match with E. Rastoder leading the charge with 3 goals. St. Pauli manages just 0.6 per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Thun conceding 1.5 and St. Pauli conceding 1.7 per match.

St. Pauli has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.7 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Thun has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 6.7 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Thun

Thun

VS
St. Pauli

St. Pauli

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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