Compare Tondela vs Varaždin

Tondela vs Varaždin Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Tondela vs Varaždin: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Tondela Home Team

Varaždin Away Team

Tondela

37.0

W W D L L D L D L D

Last 10 Matches

Varaždin

42.1

D L L W W W D L W D

Categories Won

Tondela

Draw

Varaždin

Performance Radar

Tondela

Varaždin

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

20%

2W, 4D, 4L

40%

4W, 3D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match

0.9

9 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-7

Clean Sheet

30%

3 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

40%

4 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

30%

3 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

Rony Lopes (2 goals)

A. Latković (4 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 6

1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 5

Home Win Rate

17%

1W / 6 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate

25%

1W / 4 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

52.7

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 60.4

34.6

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 47.4

Elite Opponent Record

0W / 2 matches

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

0.92

Actual: 0.9 | Diff: -0.02

1.06

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: +0.24

Adjusted Power Rating

37.0

Attack: 30.8, Defense: 47.9, Form: 20.5

42.1

Attack: 36.7, Defense: 53.6, Form: 33.8

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Tondela

Varaždin

Power Rating Breakdown

37.0

Overall

Attack 30.8

Defense 47.9

Form 20.5

Consistency 64.0

Power Rating Breakdown

42.1

Overall

Attack 36.7

Defense 53.6

Form 33.8

Consistency 50.5

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

79.0 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

60.4 vs 47.4

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%

Tondela

Varaždin

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Moreirense H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 0 W

50%

Casa Pia A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 0 W

53%

Sporting A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 2 D

75%

Nacional H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 2 L

52%

Porto A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 2 L

74%

Gil Vicente H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 2 D

55%

Vitória SC A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 5 L

59%

AVS H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 0 D

59%

Rio Ave H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

61%

Santa Clara H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 2 D

66%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Lokomotiva H

Croatia Prva HNL

1 - 1 D

44%

Hajduk A

Croatia Prva HNL

1 - 3 L

58%

Dinamo Zagreb A

Croatia Prva HNL

1 - 2 L

76%

Rijeka H

Croatia Prva HNL

1 - 0 W

44%

Osijek A

Croatia Prva HNL

2 - 0 W

46%

Slaven H

Croatia Prva HNL

2 - 1 W

35%

Gorica H

Croatia Prva HNL

1 - 1 D

44%

Istra A

Croatia Prva HNL

1 - 2 L

46%

Vukovar H

Croatia Prva HNL

2 - 0 W

32%

Lokomotiva A

Croatia Prva HNL

1 - 1 D

49%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Tondela has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 52.7) compared to Varaždin (SoS: 34.6). This means Tondela's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Varaždin holds the attacking edge with 1.3 goals per match versus Tondela's 0.9, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Varaždin has the defensive edge, conceding 1.1 per match compared to Tondela's 1.6.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Varaždin has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 5.1 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Tondela

Varaždin

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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