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Compare Toulouse vs Red Star

Toulouse vs Red Star Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Toulouse vs Red Star: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Toulouse Toulouse Home Team
Red Star Red Star Away Team
Toulouse
41.6
W W D L L L L W W L

Last 10 Matches

Red Star
76.7
L W W D W W W W W W

Categories Won

1

Toulouse

3

Draw

11

Red Star

Performance Radar

Toulouse
Red Star

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 1D, 5L

80%

8W, 1D, 1L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

2.5

25 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
2.2

22 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-7

-7

+15

+15

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

90%

9 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Emersonn (3 goals)
A. Katai (7 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 17 / 2nd Half: 8
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

83%

5W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

75%

3W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
56.0

League Difficulty: 81.9, Opponent Quality: 66.3

51.2

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 48.7

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.94

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.44

2.35

Actual: 2.5 | Diff: +0.15

Adjusted Power Rating
41.6

Attack: 53.0, Defense: 28.3, Form: 42.4

76.7

Attack: 84.3, Defense: 67.5, Form: 81.0

Goal Timing Analysis

5

0-15'

1
2

16-30'

7
1

31-45'

6
1

46-60'

5
1

61-75'

4
5

76-90+'

2
Toulouse
Red Star
Toulouse

Power Rating Breakdown

41.6

Overall

Attack 53.0
Defense 28.3
Form 42.4
Consistency 39.7
Red Star

Power Rating Breakdown

76.7

Overall

Attack 84.3
Defense 67.5
Form 81.0
Consistency 68.5

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

81.9 vs 55.0

Opponent Quality

66.3 vs 48.7

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Toulouse logo Toulouse
W
Lyon (65%)
W
Strasbourg (60%)
D
Monaco (72%)
L
Lens (60%)
L
Lens (76%)
L
Lille (73%)
L
Paris SG (84%)
W
Lorient (64%)
Red Star logo Red Star
L
Novi Pazar (41%)
W
Čukarički (50%)
W
Partizan (52%)
D
Železničar P (62%)
W
Vojvodina (63%)
W
Spartak (28%)
W
Radnik (55%)
W
Radnički Niš (44%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Lyon H
2 - 1 W
65%
Strasbourg A
2 - 1 W
60%
Monaco H
2 - 2 D
72%
Lens A
1 - 4 L
60%
Lens A
2 - 3 L
76%
Lille H
0 - 4 L
73%
Paris SG A
1 - 3 L
84%
Lorient H
1 - 0 W
64%
Metz A
4 - 3 W
48%
Marseille H
0 - 1 L
61%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Novi Pazar H
1 - 2 L
41%
Čukarički A
2 - 1 W
50%
Partizan H
3 - 0 W
52%
Železničar P A
2 - 2 D
62%
Vojvodina H
4 - 1 W
63%
Spartak H
3 - 2 W
28%
Radnik A
2 - 1 W
55%
Radnički Niš H
2 - 0 W
44%
FK IMT A
2 - 1 W
63%
Napredak H
4 - 0 W
29%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 56.0 vs 51.2), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Red Star's attack is on another level, averaging 2.5 goals per match with A. Katai leading the charge with 7 goals. Toulouse manages just 1.5 per match.

Defensively, Red Star is far superior, conceding just 1.0 goals per match with 3 clean sheets, while Toulouse leaks 2.2 per match.

Toulouse has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Red Star has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

The home advantage factor favors Red Star, who boasts a 83% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Red Star is a strong road team with a 75% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Red Star is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (84.3), defense (67.5), and form (81.0) leaves little room for doubt. Toulouse will need an exceptional performance to compete.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Toulouse

Toulouse

VS
Red Star

Red Star

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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