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Compare Tromsø vs Malmö

Tromsø vs Malmö Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Tromsø vs Malmö: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Tromsø Tromsø Home Team
Malmö Malmö Away Team
Tromsø
64.8
W D L W W D W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Malmö
39.9
L L W L W W D L L L

Categories Won

11

Tromsø

2

Draw

2

Malmö

Performance Radar

Tromsø
Malmö

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
70%

7W, 2D, 1L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.7

17 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.8

8 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+9

+9

-2

-2

Clean Sheet
60%

6 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
30%

3 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
J. Hjertø-Dahl (5 goals)
S. Hakšabanović (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 11
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 7
Home Win Rate
71%

5W / 7 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
67%

2W / 3 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
48.0

League Difficulty: 50.0, Opponent Quality: 46.7

45.2

League Difficulty: 60.5, Opponent Quality: 60.1

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.56

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: +0.14

1.44

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.04

Adjusted Power Rating
64.8

Attack: 55.5, Defense: 71.9, Form: 68.6

39.9

Attack: 44.4, Defense: 44.4, Form: 28.6

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

1
3

16-30'

3
1

31-45'

3
5

46-60'

2
3

61-75'

2
3

76-90+'

3
Tromsø
Malmö
Tromsø

Power Rating Breakdown

64.8

Overall

Attack 55.5
Defense 71.9
Form 68.6
Consistency 63.7
Malmö

Power Rating Breakdown

39.9

Overall

Attack 44.4
Defense 44.4
Form 28.6
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

50.0 vs 60.5

Opponent Quality

46.7 vs 60.1

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Tromsø logo Tromsø
W
Molde (52%)
D
Start (40%)
L
Brann (45%)
W
Sandefjord (50%)
W
Sarpsborg (47%)
D
Lillestrøm (57%)
W
Kristiansund (45%)
W
Rosenborg (42%)
Malmö logo Malmö
L
Häcken (58%)
L
Mjällby (54%)
W
AIK (49%)
L
Sirius (65%)
W
Djurgården (59%)
W
GAIS (47%)
D
Örgryte (41%)
L
Genk (70%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Molde H
2 - 0 W
52%
Start A
1 - 1 D
40%
Brann H
0 - 5 L
45%
Sandefjord H
3 - 1 W
50%
Sarpsborg A
1 - 0 W
47%
Lillestrøm H
0 - 0 D
57%
Kristiansund H
2 - 0 W
45%
Rosenborg H
2 - 0 W
42%
Brann A
2 - 1 W
50%
Fredrikstad H
4 - 0 W
39%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Häcken A
2 - 3 L
58%
Mjällby H
2 - 3 L
54%
AIK A
1 - 0 W
49%
Sirius H
2 - 3 L
65%
Djurgården A
1 - 0 W
59%
GAIS H
3 - 1 W
47%
Örgryte A
1 - 1 D
41%
Genk A
1 - 2 L
70%
Red Star H
0 - 1 L
81%
Porto A
1 - 2 L
77%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 48.0 vs 45.2), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Tromsø holds the attacking edge with 1.7 goals per match versus Malmö's 1.4, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Tromsø is far superior, conceding just 0.8 goals per match with 6 clean sheets, while Malmö leaks 1.6 per match.

Tromsø has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Malmö has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Tromsø is a strong road team with a 67% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Tromsø emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (64.8 vs 39.9) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Tromsø

Tromsø

VS
Malmö

Malmö

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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