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Compare Tromsø vs St. Pauli

Tromsø vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Tromsø vs St. Pauli: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Tromsø Tromsø Home Team
St. Pauli St. Pauli Away Team
Tromsø
64.8
W D L W W D W W W W

Last 10 Matches

St. Pauli
34.7
L L L D L D L L D W

Categories Won

10

Tromsø

2

Draw

3

St. Pauli

Performance Radar

Tromsø
St. Pauli

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
70%

7W, 2D, 1L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.7

17 / 10 matches

0.6

6 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.8

8 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+9

+9

-11

-11

Clean Sheet
60%

6 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
30%

3 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
J. Hjertø-Dahl (5 goals)
Mathias Pereira Lage (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 11
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 3
Home Win Rate
71%

5W / 7 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
67%

2W / 3 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
48.0

League Difficulty: 50.0, Opponent Quality: 46.7

68.4

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 67.8

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.56

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: +0.14

0.82

Actual: 0.6 | Diff: -0.22

Adjusted Power Rating
64.8

Attack: 55.5, Defense: 71.9, Form: 68.6

34.7

Attack: 23.7, Defense: 51.3, Form: 11.8

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

3

16-30'

2
1

31-45'

5

46-60'

1
3

61-75'

1
3

76-90+'

2
Tromsø
St. Pauli
Tromsø

Power Rating Breakdown

64.8

Overall

Attack 55.5
Defense 71.9
Form 68.6
Consistency 63.7
St. Pauli

Power Rating Breakdown

34.7

Overall

Attack 23.7
Defense 51.3
Form 11.8
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

50.0 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

46.7 vs 67.8

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 33%
Tromsø logo Tromsø
W
Molde (52%)
D
Start (40%)
L
Brann (45%)
W
Sandefjord (50%)
W
Sarpsborg (47%)
D
Lillestrøm (57%)
W
Kristiansund (45%)
W
Rosenborg (42%)
St. Pauli logo St. Pauli
L
Leipzig (84%)
L
Mainz 05 (65%)
L
Heidenheim (67%)
D
Köln (57%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
Union Berlin (57%)
L
Freiburg (67%)
L
M'gladbach (68%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Molde H
2 - 0 W
52%
Start A
1 - 1 D
40%
Brann H
0 - 5 L
45%
Sandefjord H
3 - 1 W
50%
Sarpsborg A
1 - 0 W
47%
Lillestrøm H
0 - 0 D
57%
Kristiansund H
2 - 0 W
45%
Rosenborg H
2 - 0 W
42%
Brann A
2 - 1 W
50%
Fredrikstad H
4 - 0 W
39%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Leipzig A
1 - 2 L
84%
Mainz 05 H
1 - 2 L
65%
Heidenheim A
0 - 2 L
67%
Köln H
1 - 1 D
57%
Bayern Munich H
0 - 5 L
81%
Union Berlin A
1 - 1 D
57%
Freiburg H
1 - 2 L
67%
M'gladbach A
0 - 2 L
68%
Frankfurt H
0 - 0 D
62%
Hoffenheim A
1 - 0 W
70%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

St. Pauli has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 68.4) compared to Tromsø (SoS: 48.0). This means St. Pauli's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Tromsø's attack is on another level, averaging 1.7 goals per match with J. Hjertø-Dahl leading the charge with 5 goals. St. Pauli manages just 0.6 per match.

Defensively, Tromsø is far superior, conceding just 0.8 goals per match with 6 clean sheets, while St. Pauli leaks 1.7 per match.

Tromsø has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

St. Pauli has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Tromsø is a strong road team with a 67% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.4 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Tromsø is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (55.5), defense (71.9), and form (68.6) leaves little room for doubt. St. Pauli will need an exceptional performance to compete.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Tromsø

Tromsø

VS
St. Pauli

St. Pauli

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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