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Compare Tromsø vs Varaždin

Tromsø vs Varaždin Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Tromsø vs Varaždin: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Tromsø Tromsø Home Team
Varaždin Varaždin Away Team
Tromsø
64.8
W D L W W D W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Varaždin
42.1
D L L W W W D L W D

Categories Won

11

Tromsø

3

Draw

1

Varaždin

Performance Radar

Tromsø
Varaždin

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
70%

7W, 2D, 1L

40%

4W, 3D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
1.7

17 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.8

8 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+9

+9

+2

+2

Clean Sheet
60%

6 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
30%

3 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
J. Hjertø-Dahl (5 goals)
A. Latković (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 11
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
71%

5W / 7 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
67%

2W / 3 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
48.0

League Difficulty: 50.0, Opponent Quality: 46.7

34.6

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 47.4

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.56

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: +0.14

1.06

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: +0.24

Adjusted Power Rating
64.8

Attack: 55.5, Defense: 71.9, Form: 68.6

42.1

Attack: 36.7, Defense: 53.6, Form: 33.8

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

4
3

16-30'

3
1

31-45'

1
5

46-60'

2
3

61-75'

2
3

76-90+'

1
Tromsø
Varaždin
Tromsø

Power Rating Breakdown

64.8

Overall

Attack 55.5
Defense 71.9
Form 68.6
Consistency 63.7
Varaždin

Power Rating Breakdown

42.1

Overall

Attack 36.7
Defense 53.6
Form 33.8
Consistency 50.5

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

50.0 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

46.7 vs 47.4

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Tromsø logo Tromsø
W
Molde (52%)
D
Start (40%)
L
Brann (45%)
W
Sandefjord (50%)
W
Sarpsborg (47%)
D
Lillestrøm (57%)
W
Kristiansund (45%)
W
Rosenborg (42%)
Varaždin logo Varaždin
D
Lokomotiva (44%)
L
Hajduk (58%)
L
Dinamo Zagreb (76%)
W
Rijeka (44%)
W
Osijek (46%)
W
Slaven (35%)
D
Gorica (44%)
L
Istra (46%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Molde H
2 - 0 W
52%
Start A
1 - 1 D
40%
Brann H
0 - 5 L
45%
Sandefjord H
3 - 1 W
50%
Sarpsborg A
1 - 0 W
47%
Lillestrøm H
0 - 0 D
57%
Kristiansund H
2 - 0 W
45%
Rosenborg H
2 - 0 W
42%
Brann A
2 - 1 W
50%
Fredrikstad H
4 - 0 W
39%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Lokomotiva H
1 - 1 D
44%
Hajduk A
1 - 3 L
58%
Dinamo Zagreb A
1 - 2 L
76%
Rijeka H
1 - 0 W
44%
Osijek A
2 - 0 W
46%
Slaven H
2 - 1 W
35%
Gorica H
1 - 1 D
44%
Istra A
1 - 2 L
46%
Vukovar H
2 - 0 W
32%
Lokomotiva A
1 - 1 D
49%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Tromsø has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 48.0) compared to Varaždin (SoS: 34.6). This means Tromsø's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Tromsø holds the attacking edge with 1.7 goals per match versus Varaždin's 1.3, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Tromsø has the defensive edge, conceding 0.8 per match compared to Varaždin's 1.1.

Tromsø has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Tromsø is a strong road team with a 67% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Tromsø emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (64.8 vs 42.1) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Tromsø

Tromsø

VS
Varaždin

Varaždin

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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