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Compare Villarreal vs Nacional

Villarreal vs Nacional Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Villarreal vs Nacional: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Villarreal Villarreal Home Team
Nacional Nacional Away Team
Villarreal
64.0
D W W D W L W D W L

Last 10 Matches

Nacional
40.8
L L W W L W L L D L

Categories Won

11

Villarreal

1

Draw

3

Nacional

Performance Radar

Villarreal
Nacional

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 3D, 2L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+5

+5

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
0%

0 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
90%

9 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
N. Pépé (5 goals)
J. Ramírez (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 12 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
100%

4W / 4 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
17%

1W / 6 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
68.8

League Difficulty: 93.0, Opponent Quality: 66.6

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record
33%

1W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.18

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.38

0.96

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.16

Adjusted Power Rating
64.0

Attack: 71.3, Defense: 67.3, Form: 59.4

40.8

Attack: 27.5, Defense: 65.3, Form: 30.9

Goal Timing Analysis

4

0-15'

2
3

16-30'

1
4

31-45'

1
2

46-60'

1
2

61-75'

3
3

76-90+'

Villarreal
Nacional
Villarreal

Power Rating Breakdown

64.0

Overall

Attack 71.3
Defense 67.3
Form 59.4
Consistency 53.2
Nacional

Power Rating Breakdown

40.8

Overall

Attack 27.5
Defense 65.3
Form 30.9
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

93.0 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

66.6 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

33% vs 0%
Villarreal logo Villarreal
D
Mallorca (73%)
W
Levante (71%)
W
Celta Vigo (54%)
D
Oviedo (66%)
W
Athletic (60%)
L
Girona (64%)
W
Real Sociedad (61%)
D
Alavés (65%)
Nacional logo Nacional
L
Santa Clara (71%)
L
AVS (59%)
W
Tondela (57%)
W
Alverca (59%)
L
Benfica (80%)
W
Estrela (49%)
L
Famalicão (74%)
L
Estoril (47%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Mallorca A
1 - 1 D
73%
Levante H
5 - 1 W
71%
Celta Vigo H
2 - 1 W
54%
Oviedo A
1 - 1 D
66%
Athletic A
2 - 1 W
60%
Girona A
0 - 1 L
64%
Real Sociedad H
3 - 1 W
61%
Alavés A
1 - 1 D
65%
Elche H
2 - 1 W
61%
Barcelona A
1 - 4 L
91%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Santa Clara A
0 - 2 L
71%
AVS H
1 - 2 L
59%
Tondela A
2 - 0 W
57%
Alverca H
1 - 0 W
59%
Benfica A
0 - 2 L
80%
Estrela H
2 - 0 W
49%
Famalicão A
0 - 1 L
74%
Estoril H
0 - 1 L
47%
Moreirense A
1 - 1 D
55%
Braga H
1 - 2 L
64%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Villarreal has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 68.8) compared to Nacional (SoS: 53.1). This means Villarreal's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Villarreal's attack is on another level, averaging 1.8 goals per match with N. Pépé leading the charge with 5 goals. Nacional manages just 0.8 per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Villarreal conceding 1.3 and Nacional conceding 1.1 per match.

Villarreal has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Nacional has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Villarreal, who boasts a 100% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Villarreal emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (64.0 vs 40.8) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Villarreal

Villarreal

VS
Nacional

Nacional

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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