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Compare Zorya vs Nacional

Zorya vs Nacional Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Zorya vs Nacional: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Zorya Zorya Home Team
Nacional Nacional Away Team
Zorya
64.3
W D W W L L W D D W

Last 10 Matches

Nacional
40.8
L L W W L W L L D L

Categories Won

12

Zorya

2

Draw

1

Nacional

Performance Radar

Zorya
Nacional

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 3D, 2L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+6

+6

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
P. Budkivskyi (5 goals)
J. Ramírez (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 12
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
67.3

League Difficulty: 98.0, Opponent Quality: 66.0

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record
20%

1W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.1

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.3

0.96

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.16

Adjusted Power Rating
64.3

Attack: 70.4, Defense: 70.4, Form: 58.7

40.8

Attack: 27.5, Defense: 65.3, Form: 30.9

Goal Timing Analysis

4

0-15'

2
1

16-30'

1
1

31-45'

1
7

46-60'

1
2

61-75'

3
3

76-90+'

Zorya
Nacional
Zorya

Power Rating Breakdown

64.3

Overall

Attack 70.4
Defense 70.4
Form 58.7
Consistency 53.2
Nacional

Power Rating Breakdown

40.8

Overall

Attack 27.5
Defense 65.3
Form 30.9
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

98.0 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

66.0 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

20% vs 0%
Zorya logo Zorya
W
Oleksandria (49%)
D
Metalist 1925 (74%)
W
Rukh Vynnyky (49%)
W
Veres Rivne (62%)
L
Shakhtar D (78%)
L
Dynamo Kyiv (83%)
W
Epitsentr (74%)
D
Obolon (63%)
Nacional logo Nacional
L
Santa Clara (71%)
L
AVS (59%)
W
Tondela (57%)
W
Alverca (59%)
L
Benfica (80%)
W
Estrela (49%)
L
Famalicão (74%)
L
Estoril (47%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Oleksandria A
2 - 1 W
49%
Metalist 1925 H
1 - 1 D
74%
Rukh Vynnyky A
2 - 1 W
49%
Veres Rivne H
2 - 0 W
62%
Shakhtar D H
1 - 2 L
78%
Dynamo Kyiv A
1 - 3 L
83%
Epitsentr H
1 - 0 W
74%
Obolon A
3 - 3 D
63%
Kolos A
1 - 1 D
83%
SK Poltava H
4 - 0 W
45%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Santa Clara A
0 - 2 L
71%
AVS H
1 - 2 L
59%
Tondela A
2 - 0 W
57%
Alverca H
1 - 0 W
59%
Benfica A
0 - 2 L
80%
Estrela H
2 - 0 W
49%
Famalicão A
0 - 1 L
74%
Estoril H
0 - 1 L
47%
Moreirense A
1 - 1 D
55%
Braga H
1 - 2 L
64%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Zorya has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 67.3) compared to Nacional (SoS: 53.1). This means Zorya's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Zorya's attack is on another level, averaging 1.8 goals per match with P. Budkivskyi leading the charge with 5 goals. Nacional manages just 0.8 per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Zorya conceding 1.2 and Nacional conceding 1.1 per match.

Zorya has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Nacional has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Zorya emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (64.3 vs 40.8) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Zorya

Zorya

VS
Nacional

Nacional

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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