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Compare Zorya vs SK Poltava

Zorya vs SK Poltava Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Zorya vs SK Poltava: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Zorya Zorya Home Team
SK Poltava SK Poltava Away Team
Zorya
64.3
W D W W L L W D D W

Last 10 Matches

SK Poltava
23.0
L D L D L D L L L L

Categories Won

13

Zorya

2

Draw

0

SK Poltava

Performance Radar

Zorya
SK Poltava

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 3D, 2L

0%

0W, 3D, 7L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

0.7

7 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

2.9

29 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+6

+6

-22

-22

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
P. Budkivskyi (5 goals)
V. Sad (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 12
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 3
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
67.3

League Difficulty: 98.0, Opponent Quality: 66.0

64.1

League Difficulty: 98.0, Opponent Quality: 71.1

Elite Opponent Record
20%

1W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 7 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.1

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.3

0.94

Actual: 0.7 | Diff: -0.24

Adjusted Power Rating
64.3

Attack: 70.4, Defense: 70.4, Form: 58.7

23.0

Attack: 26.6, Defense: 3.8, Form: 0.0

Goal Timing Analysis

4

0-15'

2
1

16-30'

1
1

31-45'

1
7

46-60'

2
2

61-75'

1
3

76-90+'

Zorya
SK Poltava
Zorya

Power Rating Breakdown

64.3

Overall

Attack 70.4
Defense 70.4
Form 58.7
Consistency 53.2
SK Poltava

Power Rating Breakdown

23.0

Overall

Attack 26.6
Defense 3.8
Form 0.0
Consistency 93.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

98.0 vs 98.0

Opponent Quality

66.0 vs 71.1

Elite Opponent Record

20% vs 0%
Zorya logo Zorya
W
Oleksandria (49%)
D
Metalist 1925 (74%)
W
Rukh Vynnyky (49%)
W
Veres Rivne (62%)
L
Shakhtar D (78%)
L
Dynamo Kyiv (83%)
W
Epitsentr (74%)
D
Obolon (63%)
SK Poltava logo SK Poltava
L
Shakhtar D (78%)
D
Kryvbas KR (71%)
L
Kolos (83%)
D
Obolon (63%)
L
Polissya (77%)
D
Oleksandria (44%)
L
Metalist 1925 (79%)
L
Karpaty Lviv (81%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Oleksandria A
2 - 1 W
49%
Metalist 1925 H
1 - 1 D
74%
Rukh Vynnyky A
2 - 1 W
49%
Veres Rivne H
2 - 0 W
62%
Shakhtar D H
1 - 2 L
78%
Dynamo Kyiv A
1 - 3 L
83%
Epitsentr H
1 - 0 W
74%
Obolon A
3 - 3 D
63%
Kolos A
1 - 1 D
83%
SK Poltava H
4 - 0 W
45%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Shakhtar D H
0 - 4 L
78%
Kryvbas KR H
3 - 3 D
71%
Kolos A
0 - 2 L
83%
Obolon A
1 - 1 D
63%
Polissya H
0 - 4 L
77%
Oleksandria H
3 - 3 D
44%
Metalist 1925 A
0 - 2 L
79%
Karpaty Lviv H
0 - 4 L
81%
Zorya A
0 - 4 L
80%
Kudrivka H
0 - 2 L
55%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 67.3 vs 64.1), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Zorya's attack is on another level, averaging 1.8 goals per match with P. Budkivskyi leading the charge with 5 goals. SK Poltava manages just 0.7 per match.

Defensively, Zorya is far superior, conceding just 1.2 goals per match with 3 clean sheets, while SK Poltava leaks 2.9 per match.

Zorya has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

SK Poltava has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 7 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.3 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Zorya is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (70.4), defense (70.4), and form (58.7) leaves little room for doubt. SK Poltava will need an exceptional performance to compete.

In the Ukraine Premier League (2026-03-08), Zorya beat SK Poltava 4-0. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Zorya secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 4-0 scoreline was emphatic — Zorya completely dominated SK Poltava in that encounter, raising serious questions about SK Poltava's ability to compete at this level. SK Poltava will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Zorya will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Zorya

Zorya

VS
SK Poltava

SK Poltava

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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