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Compare Zorya vs St. Pauli

Zorya vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Zorya vs St. Pauli: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Zorya Zorya Home Team
St. Pauli St. Pauli Away Team
Zorya
64.3
W D W W L L W D D W

Last 10 Matches

St. Pauli
34.7
L L L D L D L L D W

Categories Won

12

Zorya

1

Draw

2

St. Pauli

Performance Radar

Zorya
St. Pauli

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 3D, 2L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

0.6

6 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+6

+6

-11

-11

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
P. Budkivskyi (5 goals)
Mathias Pereira Lage (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 12
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 3
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
67.3

League Difficulty: 98.0, Opponent Quality: 66.0

68.4

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 67.8

Elite Opponent Record
20%

1W / 5 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.1

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.3

0.82

Actual: 0.6 | Diff: -0.22

Adjusted Power Rating
64.3

Attack: 70.4, Defense: 70.4, Form: 58.7

34.7

Attack: 23.7, Defense: 51.3, Form: 11.8

Goal Timing Analysis

4

0-15'

1

16-30'

2
1

31-45'

7

46-60'

1
2

61-75'

1
3

76-90+'

2
Zorya
St. Pauli
Zorya

Power Rating Breakdown

64.3

Overall

Attack 70.4
Defense 70.4
Form 58.7
Consistency 53.2
St. Pauli

Power Rating Breakdown

34.7

Overall

Attack 23.7
Defense 51.3
Form 11.8
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

98.0 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

66.0 vs 67.8

Elite Opponent Record

20% vs 33%
Zorya logo Zorya
W
Oleksandria (49%)
D
Metalist 1925 (74%)
W
Rukh Vynnyky (49%)
W
Veres Rivne (62%)
L
Shakhtar D (78%)
L
Dynamo Kyiv (83%)
W
Epitsentr (74%)
D
Obolon (63%)
St. Pauli logo St. Pauli
L
Leipzig (84%)
L
Mainz 05 (65%)
L
Heidenheim (67%)
D
Köln (57%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
Union Berlin (57%)
L
Freiburg (67%)
L
M'gladbach (68%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Oleksandria A
2 - 1 W
49%
Metalist 1925 H
1 - 1 D
74%
Rukh Vynnyky A
2 - 1 W
49%
Veres Rivne H
2 - 0 W
62%
Shakhtar D H
1 - 2 L
78%
Dynamo Kyiv A
1 - 3 L
83%
Epitsentr H
1 - 0 W
74%
Obolon A
3 - 3 D
63%
Kolos A
1 - 1 D
83%
SK Poltava H
4 - 0 W
45%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Leipzig A
1 - 2 L
84%
Mainz 05 H
1 - 2 L
65%
Heidenheim A
0 - 2 L
67%
Köln H
1 - 1 D
57%
Bayern Munich H
0 - 5 L
81%
Union Berlin A
1 - 1 D
57%
Freiburg H
1 - 2 L
67%
M'gladbach A
0 - 2 L
68%
Frankfurt H
0 - 0 D
62%
Hoffenheim A
1 - 0 W
70%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 67.3 vs 68.4), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Zorya's attack is on another level, averaging 1.8 goals per match with P. Budkivskyi leading the charge with 5 goals. St. Pauli manages just 0.6 per match.

Zorya has the defensive edge, conceding 1.2 per match compared to St. Pauli's 1.7.

Zorya has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

St. Pauli has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Zorya emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (64.3 vs 34.7) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Zorya

Zorya

VS
St. Pauli

St. Pauli

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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