Le Havre vs Lille Estatísticas de Confrontos Diretos e Comparação de Forma

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Lille has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 75.1) compared to Le Havre (SoS: 56.9). This means Lille's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Lille holds the attacking edge with 1.4 goals per match versus Le Havre's 1.0, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Lille is far superior, conceding just 0.6 goals per match with 5 clean sheets, while Le Havre leaks 1.5 per match.

Le Havre has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Lille has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 4 of 6 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Lille is a strong road team with a 83% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.2 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Lille is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (58.4), defense (100), and form (75.1) leaves little room for doubt. Le Havre will need an exceptional performance to compete.

These two teams drew 1-1 in the French Ligue 1 (2026-05-03). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.