Compare Anderlecht vs Nacional

Anderlecht vs Nacional Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Anderlecht vs Nacional: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Anderlecht Home Team

Nacional Away Team

Anderlecht

34.9

D L L L W W L L L D

Last 10 Matches

Nacional

40.8

L L W W L W L L D L

Categories Won

Anderlecht

Draw

Nacional

Performance Radar

Anderlecht

Nacional

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

20%

2W, 2D, 6L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match

1.4

14 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

2.1

21 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-7

-3

Clean Sheet

0 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

70%

7 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

80%

8 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

M. Cvetković (5 goals)

J. Ramírez (3 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 10

1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4

Home Win Rate

25%

1W / 4 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate

17%

1W / 6 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

44.5

League Difficulty: 59.5, Opponent Quality: 59.1

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

0W / 2 matches

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.01

0.96

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.16

Adjusted Power Rating

34.9

Attack: 44.1, Defense: 28.4, Form: 18.9

40.8

Attack: 27.5, Defense: 65.3, Form: 30.9

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Anderlecht

Nacional

Power Rating Breakdown

34.9

Overall

Attack 44.1

Defense 28.4

Form 18.9

Consistency 59.2

Power Rating Breakdown

40.8

Overall

Attack 27.5

Defense 65.3

Form 30.9

Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

59.5 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

59.1 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%

Anderlecht

Nacional

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Gent A

Belgian First Division A

1 - 1 D

51%

Club Brugge H

Belgian First Division A

1 - 3 L

66%

R. Union SG H

Belgian First Division A

1 - 3 L

64%

Sint-Truiden A

Belgian First Division A

0 - 2 L

49%

Mechelen A

Belgian First Division A

2 - 1 W

34%

Gent H

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

3 - 1 W

58%

Club Brugge A

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

2 - 4 L

83%

Cercle Brugge H

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

2 - 3 L

58%

Mechelen A

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

0 - 1 L

45%

Club Brugge A

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

2 - 2 D

83%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Santa Clara A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 2 L

71%

AVS H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

59%

Tondela A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 0 W

57%

Alverca H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 0 W

59%

Benfica A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 2 L

80%

Estrela H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 0 W

49%

Famalicão A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

74%

Estoril H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

47%

Moreirense A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 1 D

55%

Braga H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

64%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 44.5 vs 53.1), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Anderlecht holds the attacking edge with 1.4 goals per match versus Nacional's 0.8, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Nacional is far superior, conceding just 1.1 goals per match with 3 clean sheets, while Anderlecht leaks 2.1 per match.

Nacional has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.7 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Nacional has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 5.9 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Anderlecht

Nacional

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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