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Compare Atlético vs Celta Vigo

Atlético vs Celta Vigo Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Atlético vs Celta Vigo: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Atlético Atlético Home Team
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo Away Team
Atlético
48.1
W L L W D W L D L L

Last 10 Matches

Celta Vigo
41.2
L W W L L L L L W L

Categories Won

4

Atlético

7

Draw

4

Celta Vigo

Performance Radar

Atlético
Celta Vigo

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 2D, 5L

30%

3W, 0D, 7L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

2.2

22 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

-8

-8

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
A. Sørloth (3 goals)
Ferran Jutglà (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 8
Home Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
64.8

League Difficulty: 89.4, Opponent Quality: 65.2

67.1

League Difficulty: 91.4, Opponent Quality: 69.3

Elite Opponent Record
25%

1W / 4 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.61

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.21

1.76

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.36

Adjusted Power Rating
48.1

Attack: 53.6, Defense: 57.4, Form: 34.4

41.2

Attack: 54.6, Defense: 31.2, Form: 35.1

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

2
1

16-30'

3
3

31-45'

1
3

46-60'

3
2

61-75'

2
3

76-90+'

3
Atlético
Celta Vigo
Atlético

Power Rating Breakdown

48.1

Overall

Attack 53.6
Defense 57.4
Form 34.4
Consistency 49.3
Celta Vigo

Power Rating Breakdown

41.2

Overall

Attack 54.6
Defense 31.2
Form 35.1
Consistency 43.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

89.4 vs 91.4

Opponent Quality

65.2 vs 69.3

Elite Opponent Record

25% vs 25%
Atlético logo Atlético
W
Osasuna (63%)
L
Celta Vigo (54%)
L
Arsenal (77%)
W
Valencia (72%)
D
Arsenal (72%)
W
Athletic (55%)
L
Elche (66%)
D
Real Sociedad (42%)
Celta Vigo logo Celta Vigo
L
Levante (71%)
W
Atlético (66%)
W
Elche (61%)
L
Villarreal (78%)
L
Barcelona (91%)
L
Freiburg (64%)
L
Oviedo (61%)
L
Freiburg (69%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Osasuna A
2 - 1 W
63%
Celta Vigo H
0 - 1 L
54%
Arsenal A
0 - 1 L
77%
Valencia A
2 - 0 W
72%
Arsenal H
1 - 1 D
72%
Athletic H
3 - 2 W
55%
Elche A
2 - 3 L
66%
Real Sociedad H
2 - 2 D
42%
Barcelona H
1 - 2 L
88%
Sevilla A
1 - 2 L
63%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Levante H
2 - 3 L
71%
Atlético A
1 - 0 W
66%
Elche H
3 - 1 W
61%
Villarreal A
1 - 2 L
78%
Barcelona A
0 - 1 L
91%
Freiburg H
1 - 3 L
64%
Oviedo H
0 - 3 L
61%
Freiburg A
0 - 3 L
69%
Valencia A
3 - 2 W
72%
Alavés H
3 - 4 L
60%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 64.8 vs 67.1), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Atlético averaging 1.4 and Celta Vigo averaging 1.4 goals per match.

Atlético has the defensive edge, conceding 1.5 per match compared to Celta Vigo's 2.2.

Atlético has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Celta Vigo has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Atlético has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 6.9 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

In the Spanish La Liga (2026-05-09), Celta Vigo beat Atlético 0-1. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Notably, Celta Vigo achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Atlético shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Atlético will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Celta Vigo will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Atlético

Atlético

VS
Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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