Compare AZ vs Estrela

AZ vs Estrela Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare AZ vs Estrela: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

AZ Home Team

Estrela Away Team

56.5

D D D D W L W L W W

Last 10 Matches

Estrela

39.2

D L L L L L W L D D

Categories Won

Draw

Estrela

Performance Radar

Estrela

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

40%

4W, 4D, 2L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match

1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-3

Clean Sheet

50%

5 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

70%

7 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

30%

3 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

S. Mijnans (5 goals)

Rodrigo Pinho (3 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 9

1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 5

Home Win Rate

60%

3W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate

20%

1W / 5 matches

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

54.7

League Difficulty: 79.4, Opponent Quality: 65.5

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

0W / 5 matches

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

1.92

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.12

1.0

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: 0.0

Adjusted Power Rating

56.5

Attack: 62.8, Defense: 66.3, Form: 41.9

39.2

Attack: 34.4, Defense: 58.4, Form: 10.3

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Estrela

Power Rating Breakdown

56.5

Overall

Attack 62.8

Defense 66.3

Form 41.9

Consistency 56.8

Power Rating Breakdown

39.2

Overall

Attack 34.4

Defense 58.4

Form 10.3

Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

79.4 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

65.5 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%

Estrela

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Feyenoord A

Dutch Eredivisie

1 - 1 D

72%

Twente H

Dutch Eredivisie

2 - 2 D

76%

Go Ahead A

Dutch Eredivisie

0 - 0 D

70%

Shakhtar D H

UEFA Conference League

2 - 2 D

70%

Heerenveen H

Dutch Eredivisie

3 - 0 W

67%

Shakhtar D A

UEFA Conference League

0 - 3 L

75%

Fortuna H

Dutch Eredivisie

2 - 0 W

56%

Groningen A

Dutch Eredivisie

0 - 3 L

66%

Sparta Prague A

UEFA Conference League

4 - 0 W

67%

Heracles H

Dutch Eredivisie

4 - 0 W

36%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Famalicão H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 0 D

69%

Moreirense A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 3 L

55%

Porto H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

69%

Arouca A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

62%

Sporting H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

70%

Nacional A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 2 L

57%

Casa Pia H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

4 - 0 W

48%

Rio Ave A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

66%

Gil Vicente H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 2 D

55%

AVS A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 0 D

64%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 54.7 vs 53.1), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

AZ holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus Estrela's 1.0, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with AZ conceding 1.1 and Estrela conceding 1.3 per match.

AZ has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being unlikely.

AZ emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (56.5 vs 39.2) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Estrela

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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