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Compare Estoril vs Braga

Estoril vs Braga Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Estoril vs Braga: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Estoril Estoril Home Team
Braga Braga Away Team
Estoril
34.5
D D L L L L L W D L

Last 10 Matches

Braga
55.4
D L D W L W D W W D

Categories Won

0

Estoril

2

Draw

13

Braga

Performance Radar

Estoril
Braga

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
10%

1W, 3D, 6L

40%

4W, 4D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
0.7

7 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-8

-8

+2

+2

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Y. Begraoui (3 goals)
Pau Víctor (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 3
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 9
Home Win Rate
0%

0W / 4 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
17%

1W / 6 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
53.6

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 62.9

63.4

League Difficulty: 81.4, Opponent Quality: 64.5

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.77

Actual: 0.7 | Diff: -0.07

1.93

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.33

Adjusted Power Rating
34.5

Attack: 24.2, Defense: 51.8, Form: 10.4

55.4

Attack: 60.5, Defense: 60.5, Form: 45.4

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

3
1

16-30'

2
1

31-45'

2
1

46-60'

3

61-75'

2
2

76-90+'

4
Estoril
Braga
Estoril

Power Rating Breakdown

34.5

Overall

Attack 24.2
Defense 51.8
Form 10.4
Consistency 74.8
Braga

Power Rating Breakdown

55.4

Overall

Attack 60.5
Defense 60.5
Form 45.4
Consistency 56.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

79.0 vs 81.4

Opponent Quality

62.9 vs 64.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 33%
Estoril logo Estoril
D
Alverca (64%)
D
Braga (69%)
L
Famalicão (69%)
L
Moreirense (55%)
L
Porto (69%)
L
Arouca (62%)
L
Rio Ave (61%)
W
Nacional (57%)
Braga logo Braga
D
Benfica (80%)
L
Freiburg (69%)
D
Estoril (47%)
W
Freiburg (64%)
L
Santa Clara (71%)
W
Casa Pia (53%)
D
Famalicão (69%)
W
Betis (70%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Alverca A
1 - 1 D
64%
Braga A
1 - 1 D
69%
Famalicão H
0 - 1 L
69%
Moreirense A
0 - 1 L
55%
Porto H
1 - 3 L
69%
Arouca A
2 - 3 L
62%
Rio Ave H
1 - 2 L
61%
Nacional A
1 - 0 W
57%
Casa Pia H
0 - 0 D
48%
Sporting A
0 - 3 L
75%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Benfica A
2 - 2 D
80%
Freiburg A
1 - 3 L
69%
Estoril H
1 - 1 D
47%
Freiburg H
2 - 1 W
64%
Santa Clara A
1 - 2 L
71%
Casa Pia A
1 - 0 W
53%
Famalicão H
2 - 2 D
69%
Betis A
4 - 2 W
70%
Arouca H
1 - 0 W
57%
Betis H
1 - 1 D
65%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 53.6 vs 63.4), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Braga holds the attacking edge with 1.6 goals per match versus Estoril's 0.7, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Estoril conceding 1.5 and Braga conceding 1.4 per match.

Braga has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Braga emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (55.4 vs 34.5) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

These two teams drew 1-1 in the Portuguese Primeira Liga (2026-05-03). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Estoril

Estoril

VS
Braga

Braga

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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