Compare Estrela vs Lille

Estrela vs Lille Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Estrela vs Lille: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Estrela Home Team

Lille Away Team

Estrela

39.2

D L L L L L W L D D

Last 10 Matches

Lille

72.8

W D W D W W W L W L

Categories Won

Estrela

Draw

Lille

Performance Radar

Estrela

Lille

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match

1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.3

13 / 10 matches

0.6

6 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-3

Clean Sheet

30%

3 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

50%

5 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

40%

4 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

Rodrigo Pinho (3 goals)

Matías Fernández (4 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 5

1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9

Home Win Rate

20%

1W / 5 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate

0W / 5 matches

83%

5W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

75.1

League Difficulty: 85.8, Opponent Quality: 68.6

Elite Opponent Record

0W / 1 matches

67%

4W / 6 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

1.0

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: 0.0

1.66

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.26

Adjusted Power Rating

39.2

Attack: 34.4, Defense: 58.4, Form: 10.3

72.8

Attack: 58.4, Defense: 100, Form: 75.1

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Estrela

Lille

Power Rating Breakdown

39.2

Overall

Attack 34.4

Defense 58.4

Form 10.3

Consistency 74.8

Power Rating Breakdown

72.8

Overall

Attack 58.4

Defense 100

Form 75.1

Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

79.0 vs 85.8

Opponent Quality

61.5 vs 68.6

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 67%

Estrela

Lille

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Famalicão H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 0 D

69%

Moreirense A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 3 L

55%

Porto H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

69%

Arouca A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

62%

Sporting H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

70%

Nacional A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 2 L

57%

Casa Pia H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

4 - 0 W

48%

Rio Ave A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

66%

Gil Vicente H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 2 D

55%

AVS A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 0 D

64%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Monaco A

French Ligue 1

1 - 0 W

77%

Le Havre H

French Ligue 1

1 - 1 D

53%

Paris FC A

French Ligue 1

1 - 0 W

77%

Nice H

French Ligue 1

0 - 0 D

55%

Toulouse A

French Ligue 1

4 - 0 W

62%

Lens H

French Ligue 1

3 - 0 W

71%

Marseille A

French Ligue 1

2 - 1 W

66%

Aston Villa A

UEFA Europa League

0 - 2 L

75%

Rennes A

French Ligue 1

2 - 1 W

80%

Aston Villa H

UEFA Europa League

0 - 1 L

70%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Lille has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 75.1) compared to Estrela (SoS: 53.1). This means Lille's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Lille holds the attacking edge with 1.4 goals per match versus Estrela's 1.0, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Lille has the defensive edge, conceding 0.6 per match compared to Estrela's 1.3.

Lille has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 4 of 6 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Lille is a strong road team with a 83% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.1 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being unlikely.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Lille is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (58.4), defense (100), and form (75.1) leaves little room for doubt. Estrela will need an exceptional performance to compete.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Estrela

Lille

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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