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Compare Estrela vs Malmö

Estrela vs Malmö Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Estrela vs Malmö: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Estrela Estrela Home Team
Malmö Malmö Away Team
Estrela
39.2
D L L L L L W L D D

Last 10 Matches

Malmö
39.9
L L W L W W D L L L

Categories Won

3

Estrela

3

Draw

9

Malmö

Performance Radar

Estrela
Malmö

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
10%

1W, 3D, 6L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-3

-3

-2

-2

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
40%

4 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Rodrigo Pinho (3 goals)
S. Hakšabanović (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 5
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 7
Home Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 5 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

45.2

League Difficulty: 60.5, Opponent Quality: 60.1

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.0

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: 0.0

1.44

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.04

Adjusted Power Rating
39.2

Attack: 34.4, Defense: 58.4, Form: 10.3

39.9

Attack: 44.4, Defense: 44.4, Form: 28.6

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

1

16-30'

3
2

31-45'

3
2

46-60'

2
2

61-75'

2
2

76-90+'

3
Estrela
Malmö
Estrela

Power Rating Breakdown

39.2

Overall

Attack 34.4
Defense 58.4
Form 10.3
Consistency 74.8
Malmö

Power Rating Breakdown

39.9

Overall

Attack 44.4
Defense 44.4
Form 28.6
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

79.0 vs 60.5

Opponent Quality

61.5 vs 60.1

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Estrela logo Estrela
D
Famalicão (69%)
L
Moreirense (55%)
L
Porto (69%)
L
Arouca (62%)
L
Sporting (70%)
L
Nacional (57%)
W
Casa Pia (48%)
L
Rio Ave (66%)
Malmö logo Malmö
L
Häcken (58%)
L
Mjällby (54%)
W
AIK (49%)
L
Sirius (65%)
W
Djurgården (59%)
W
GAIS (47%)
D
Örgryte (41%)
L
Genk (70%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Famalicão H
0 - 0 D
69%
Moreirense A
2 - 3 L
55%
Porto H
1 - 2 L
69%
Arouca A
0 - 1 L
62%
Sporting H
0 - 1 L
70%
Nacional A
0 - 2 L
57%
Casa Pia H
4 - 0 W
48%
Rio Ave A
1 - 2 L
66%
Gil Vicente H
2 - 2 D
55%
AVS A
0 - 0 D
64%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Häcken A
2 - 3 L
58%
Mjällby H
2 - 3 L
54%
AIK A
1 - 0 W
49%
Sirius H
2 - 3 L
65%
Djurgården A
1 - 0 W
59%
GAIS H
3 - 1 W
47%
Örgryte A
1 - 1 D
41%
Genk A
1 - 2 L
70%
Red Star H
0 - 1 L
81%
Porto A
1 - 2 L
77%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 53.1 vs 45.2), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Malmö holds the attacking edge with 1.4 goals per match versus Estrela's 1.0, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Estrela has the defensive edge, conceding 1.3 per match compared to Malmö's 1.6.

Malmö has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

This is a genuine coin-flip. Both teams are remarkably evenly matched across all metrics, and the outcome will likely be decided by the day's form, tactical adjustments, and perhaps a moment of individual brilliance.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Estrela

Estrela

VS
Malmö

Malmö

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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