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Compare Hoffenheim vs Bayern Munich

Hoffenheim vs Bayern Munich Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Hoffenheim vs Bayern Munich: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Hoffenheim Hoffenheim Home Team
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich Away Team
Hoffenheim
51.5
W D W W D L L D W L

Last 10 Matches

Bayern Munich
78.0
W D D L W W W W W W

Categories Won

0

Hoffenheim

4

Draw

11

Bayern Munich

Performance Radar

Hoffenheim
Bayern Munich

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 3D, 3L

70%

7W, 2D, 1L

Goals Scored / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

3.0

30 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-2

-2

+12

+12

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
A. Kramarić (4 goals)
H. Kane (7 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 11 / 2nd Half: 5
1st Half: 11 / 2nd Half: 19
Home Win Rate
33%

2W / 6 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

83%

5W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
65.5

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 65.3

74.0

League Difficulty: 88.8, Opponent Quality: 67.1

Elite Opponent Record
25%

1W / 4 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.05

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.45

3.73

Actual: 3.0 | Diff: -0.73

Adjusted Power Rating
51.5

Attack: 61.6, Defense: 46.2, Form: 46.2

78.0

Attack: 100, Defense: 49.6, Form: 86.8

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

2
5

16-30'

2
4

31-45'

7
3

46-60'

7

61-75'

4
3

76-90+'

8
Hoffenheim
Bayern Munich
Hoffenheim

Power Rating Breakdown

51.5

Overall

Attack 61.6
Defense 46.2
Form 46.2
Consistency 50.5
Bayern Munich

Power Rating Breakdown

78.0

Overall

Attack 100
Defense 49.6
Form 86.8
Consistency 63.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

91.0 vs 88.8

Opponent Quality

65.3 vs 67.1

Elite Opponent Record

25% vs 60%
Hoffenheim logo Hoffenheim
W
Bremen (62%)
D
Stuttgart (70%)
W
Hamburg (63%)
W
Dortmund (71%)
D
Augsburg (71%)
L
Mainz 05 (65%)
L
Leipzig (84%)
D
Wolfsburg (50%)
Bayern Munich logo Bayern Munich
W
Wolfsburg (55%)
D
Paris SG (83%)
D
Heidenheim (62%)
L
Paris SG (88%)
W
Mainz 05 (70%)
W
Leverkusen (51%)
W
Stuttgart (70%)
W
Real Madrid (66%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Bremen H
1 - 0 W
62%
Stuttgart H
3 - 3 D
70%
Hamburg A
2 - 1 W
63%
Dortmund H
2 - 1 W
71%
Augsburg A
2 - 2 D
71%
Mainz 05 H
1 - 2 L
65%
Leipzig A
0 - 5 L
84%
Wolfsburg H
1 - 1 D
50%
Heidenheim A
4 - 2 W
67%
St. Pauli H
0 - 1 L
50%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Wolfsburg A
1 - 0 W
55%
Paris SG H
1 - 1 D
83%
Heidenheim H
3 - 3 D
62%
Paris SG A
4 - 5 L
88%
Mainz 05 A
4 - 3 W
70%
Leverkusen A
2 - 0 W
51%
Stuttgart H
4 - 2 W
70%
Real Madrid H
4 - 3 W
66%
St. Pauli A
5 - 0 W
55%
Real Madrid A
2 - 1 W
71%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 65.5 vs 74.0), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Bayern Munich's attack is on another level, averaging 3.0 goals per match with H. Kane leading the charge with 7 goals. Hoffenheim manages just 1.6 per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Hoffenheim conceding 1.8 and Bayern Munich conceding 1.8 per match.

Hoffenheim has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Bayern Munich has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 3 of 5 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Bayern Munich is a strong road team with a 83% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 4.1 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Bayern Munich emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (78.0 vs 51.5) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Hoffenheim

Hoffenheim

VS
Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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