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Compare Hoffenheim vs Thun

Hoffenheim vs Thun Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Hoffenheim vs Thun: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Hoffenheim Hoffenheim Home Team
Thun Thun Away Team
Hoffenheim
51.5
W D W W D L L D W L

Last 10 Matches

Thun
41.4
L L L W L L W W D W

Categories Won

7

Hoffenheim

5

Draw

3

Thun

Performance Radar

Hoffenheim
Thun

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 3D, 3L

40%

4W, 1D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-2

-2

+1

+1

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
A. Kramarić (4 goals)
E. Rastoder (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 11 / 2nd Half: 5
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 9
Home Win Rate
33%

2W / 6 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
65.5

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 65.3

37.5

League Difficulty: 49.0, Opponent Quality: 51.2

Elite Opponent Record
25%

1W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.05

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.45

1.37

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.23

Adjusted Power Rating
51.5

Attack: 61.6, Defense: 46.2, Form: 46.2

41.4

Attack: 46.7, Defense: 43.8, Form: 35.0

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

5

16-30'

3
4

31-45'

4
3

46-60'

4

61-75'

3
3

76-90+'

2
Hoffenheim
Thun
Hoffenheim

Power Rating Breakdown

51.5

Overall

Attack 61.6
Defense 46.2
Form 46.2
Consistency 50.5
Thun

Power Rating Breakdown

41.4

Overall

Attack 46.7
Defense 43.8
Form 35.0
Consistency 39.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

91.0 vs 49.0

Opponent Quality

65.3 vs 51.2

Elite Opponent Record

25% vs 0%
Hoffenheim logo Hoffenheim
W
Bremen (62%)
D
Stuttgart (70%)
W
Hamburg (63%)
W
Dortmund (71%)
D
Augsburg (71%)
L
Mainz 05 (65%)
L
Leipzig (84%)
D
Wolfsburg (50%)
Thun logo Thun
L
Sion (70%)
L
Basel (55%)
L
Lugano (54%)
W
Basel (50%)
L
Lugano (55%)
L
Zürich (38%)
W
GC Zürich (27%)
W
Young Boys (56%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Bremen H
1 - 0 W
62%
Stuttgart H
3 - 3 D
70%
Hamburg A
2 - 1 W
63%
Dortmund H
2 - 1 W
71%
Augsburg A
2 - 2 D
71%
Mainz 05 H
1 - 2 L
65%
Leipzig A
0 - 5 L
84%
Wolfsburg H
1 - 1 D
50%
Heidenheim A
4 - 2 W
67%
St. Pauli H
0 - 1 L
50%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Sion A
0 - 2 L
70%
Basel A
1 - 3 L
55%
Lugano H
0 - 1 L
54%
Basel H
3 - 1 W
50%
Lugano A
0 - 1 L
55%
Zürich A
1 - 2 L
38%
GC Zürich H
5 - 1 W
27%
Young Boys A
2 - 1 W
56%
St.Gallen H
2 - 2 D
55%
Luzern H
2 - 1 W
52%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Hoffenheim has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 65.5) compared to Thun (SoS: 37.5). This means Hoffenheim's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Hoffenheim averaging 1.6 and Thun averaging 1.6 goals per match.

Thun has the defensive edge, conceding 1.5 per match compared to Hoffenheim's 1.8.

Hoffenheim has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Hoffenheim has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 10.1 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Hoffenheim

Hoffenheim

VS
Thun

Thun

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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