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Compare Hoffenheim vs Winterthur

Hoffenheim vs Winterthur Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Hoffenheim vs Winterthur: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Hoffenheim Hoffenheim Home Team
Winterthur Winterthur Away Team
Hoffenheim
51.5
W D W W D L L D W L

Last 10 Matches

Winterthur
37.1
W D L L L L W D D L

Categories Won

12

Hoffenheim

2

Draw

1

Winterthur

Performance Radar

Hoffenheim
Winterthur

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 3D, 3L

20%

2W, 3D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.9

19 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-2

-2

-6

-6

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
A. Kramarić (4 goals)
N. Burkart (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 11 / 2nd Half: 5
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
33%

2W / 6 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
65.5

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 65.3

49.1

League Difficulty: 48.0, Opponent Quality: 49.8

Elite Opponent Record
25%

1W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.05

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.45

1.36

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.06

Adjusted Power Rating
51.5

Attack: 61.6, Defense: 46.2, Form: 46.2

37.1

Attack: 42.9, Defense: 36.3, Form: 19.8

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

2
5

16-30'

2
4

31-45'

4
3

46-60'

3

61-75'

1
3

76-90+'

1
Hoffenheim
Winterthur
Hoffenheim

Power Rating Breakdown

51.5

Overall

Attack 61.6
Defense 46.2
Form 46.2
Consistency 50.5
Winterthur

Power Rating Breakdown

37.1

Overall

Attack 42.9
Defense 36.3
Form 19.8
Consistency 61.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

91.0 vs 48.0

Opponent Quality

65.3 vs 49.8

Elite Opponent Record

25% vs 0%
Hoffenheim logo Hoffenheim
W
Bremen (62%)
D
Stuttgart (70%)
W
Hamburg (63%)
W
Dortmund (71%)
D
Augsburg (71%)
L
Mainz 05 (65%)
L
Leipzig (84%)
D
Wolfsburg (50%)
Winterthur logo Winterthur
W
Lausanne (42%)
D
Zürich (36%)
L
Servette (67%)
L
GC Zürich (27%)
L
Lausanne (44%)
L
Basel (46%)
W
Luzern (52%)
D
Sion (66%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Bremen H
1 - 0 W
62%
Stuttgart H
3 - 3 D
70%
Hamburg A
2 - 1 W
63%
Dortmund H
2 - 1 W
71%
Augsburg A
2 - 2 D
71%
Mainz 05 H
1 - 2 L
65%
Leipzig A
0 - 5 L
84%
Wolfsburg H
1 - 1 D
50%
Heidenheim A
4 - 2 W
67%
St. Pauli H
0 - 1 L
50%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Lausanne H
2 - 1 W
42%
Zürich H
2 - 2 D
36%
Servette A
3 - 5 L
67%
GC Zürich H
0 - 2 L
27%
Lausanne A
1 - 2 L
44%
Basel H
0 - 2 L
46%
Luzern A
2 - 1 W
52%
Sion A
1 - 1 D
66%
Servette H
1 - 1 D
58%
St.Gallen A
1 - 2 L
60%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Hoffenheim has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 65.5) compared to Winterthur (SoS: 49.1). This means Hoffenheim's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Hoffenheim holds the attacking edge with 1.6 goals per match versus Winterthur's 1.3, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Hoffenheim conceding 1.8 and Winterthur conceding 1.9 per match.

Hoffenheim has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Winterthur has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.3 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Hoffenheim has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 14.4 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Hoffenheim

Hoffenheim

VS
Winterthur

Winterthur

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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