Skip to content
Compare Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim

Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Mainz 05 Mainz 05 Home Team
Hoffenheim Hoffenheim Away Team
Mainz 05
55.4
L W L D L L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Hoffenheim
51.5
W D W W D L L D W L

Categories Won

8

Mainz 05

2

Draw

5

Hoffenheim

Performance Radar

Mainz 05
Hoffenheim

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

40%

4W, 3D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

-2

-2

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
P. Tietz (3 goals)
A. Kramarić (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 11 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
69.0

League Difficulty: 87.1, Opponent Quality: 61.8

65.5

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 65.3

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.84

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.34

2.05

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.45

Adjusted Power Rating
55.4

Attack: 59.5, Defense: 55.5, Form: 59.5

51.5

Attack: 61.6, Defense: 46.2, Form: 46.2

Goal Timing Analysis

5

0-15'

1
2

16-30'

5
1

31-45'

4
3

46-60'

3

61-75'

4

76-90+'

3
Mainz 05
Hoffenheim
Mainz 05

Power Rating Breakdown

55.4

Overall

Attack 59.5
Defense 55.5
Form 59.5
Consistency 38.8
Hoffenheim

Power Rating Breakdown

51.5

Overall

Attack 61.6
Defense 46.2
Form 46.2
Consistency 50.5

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.1 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

61.8 vs 65.3

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 25%
Mainz 05 logo Mainz 05
L
Union Berlin (52%)
W
St. Pauli (55%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
M'gladbach (68%)
L
Strasbourg (57%)
L
Freiburg (67%)
W
Strasbourg (52%)
W
Hoffenheim (70%)
Hoffenheim logo Hoffenheim
W
Bremen (62%)
D
Stuttgart (70%)
W
Hamburg (63%)
W
Dortmund (71%)
D
Augsburg (71%)
L
Mainz 05 (65%)
L
Leipzig (84%)
D
Wolfsburg (50%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Union Berlin H
1 - 3 L
52%
St. Pauli A
2 - 1 W
55%
Bayern Munich H
3 - 4 L
81%
M'gladbach A
1 - 1 D
68%
Strasbourg A
0 - 4 L
57%
Freiburg H
0 - 1 L
67%
Strasbourg H
2 - 0 W
52%
Hoffenheim A
2 - 1 W
70%
Frankfurt H
2 - 1 W
62%
Olomouc H
2 - 0 W
54%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Bremen H
1 - 0 W
62%
Stuttgart H
3 - 3 D
70%
Hamburg A
2 - 1 W
63%
Dortmund H
2 - 1 W
71%
Augsburg A
2 - 2 D
71%
Mainz 05 H
1 - 2 L
65%
Leipzig A
0 - 5 L
84%
Wolfsburg H
1 - 1 D
50%
Heidenheim A
4 - 2 W
67%
St. Pauli H
0 - 1 L
50%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 69.0 vs 65.5), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Mainz 05 averaging 1.5 and Hoffenheim averaging 1.6 goals per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Mainz 05 conceding 1.6 and Hoffenheim conceding 1.8 per match.

Hoffenheim has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

In the German Bundesliga (2026-04-04), Mainz 05 beat Hoffenheim 1-2. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Notably, Mainz 05 achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Hoffenheim shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 1-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Hoffenheim will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Mainz 05 will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Mainz 05

Mainz 05

VS
Hoffenheim

Hoffenheim

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Popular Teams

We use cookies & local storage to enhance your experience. Learn more