Compare Metz vs Rayo

Metz vs Rayo Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Metz vs Rayo: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Metz Home Team

Rayo Away Team

Metz

30.1

L L D L L D D L L L

Last 10 Matches

Rayo

65.9

D W W W D W L L W W

Categories Won

Metz

Draw

Rayo

Performance Radar

Metz

Rayo

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

0W, 3D, 7L

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match

1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

2.4

24 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-14

Clean Sheet

20%

2 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

70%

7 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

50%

5 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

G. Kvilitaia (2 goals)

Alemão (4 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 5

1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9

Home Win Rate

0W / 6 matches

67%

4W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate

0W / 4 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

57.2

League Difficulty: 86.0, Opponent Quality: 65.2

69.3

League Difficulty: 87.0, Opponent Quality: 63.0

Elite Opponent Record

0W / 4 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

1.27

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: -0.27

1.74

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.34

Adjusted Power Rating

30.1

Attack: 35.7, Defense: 21.4, Form: 0.0

65.9

Attack: 55.7, Defense: 79.5, Form: 71.6

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Metz

Rayo

Power Rating Breakdown

30.1

Overall

Attack 35.7

Defense 21.4

Form 0.0

Consistency 93.7

Power Rating Breakdown

65.9

Overall

Attack 55.7

Defense 79.5

Form 71.6

Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

86.0 vs 87.0

Opponent Quality

65.2 vs 63.0

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 50%

Metz

Rayo

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Lorient H

French Ligue 1

0 - 4 L

64%

Monaco H

French Ligue 1

1 - 2 L

72%

Le Havre A

French Ligue 1

4 - 4 D

58%

Paris FC H

French Ligue 1

1 - 3 L

72%

Marseille A

French Ligue 1

1 - 3 L

66%

Nantes H

French Ligue 1

0 - 0 D

51%

Rennes A

French Ligue 1

0 - 0 D

80%

Toulouse H

French Ligue 1

3 - 4 L

57%

Lens A

French Ligue 1

0 - 3 L

76%

Brest H

French Ligue 1

0 - 1 L

56%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Girona H

Spanish La Liga

1 - 1 D

59%

Strasbourg A

UEFA Conference League

1 - 0 W

57%

Getafe A

Spanish La Liga

2 - 0 W

72%

Strasbourg H

UEFA Conference League

1 - 0 W

52%

Real Sociedad H

Spanish La Liga

3 - 3 D

61%

Espanyol H

Spanish La Liga

1 - 0 W

50%

AEK Athens A

UEFA Conference League

1 - 3 L

75%

Mallorca A

Spanish La Liga

0 - 3 L

73%

AEK Athens H

UEFA Conference League

3 - 0 W

70%

Elche H

Spanish La Liga

1 - 0 W

61%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Rayo has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 69.3) compared to Metz (SoS: 57.2). This means Rayo's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Rayo holds the attacking edge with 1.4 goals per match versus Metz's 1.0, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Rayo is far superior, conceding just 1.0 goals per match with 6 clean sheets, while Metz leaks 2.4 per match.

Metz has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Rayo has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Rayo is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (55.7), defense (79.5), and form (71.6) leaves little room for doubt. Metz will need an exceptional performance to compete.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Metz

Rayo

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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