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Compare Monaco vs Nacional

Monaco vs Nacional Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Monaco vs Nacional: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Monaco Monaco Home Team
Nacional Nacional Away Team
Monaco
67.7
L W D D L W W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Nacional
40.8
L L W W L W L L D L

Categories Won

12

Monaco

1

Draw

2

Nacional

Performance Radar

Monaco
Nacional

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 2D, 2L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+5

+5

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
F. Balogun (8 goals)
J. Ramírez (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 13
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
69.4

League Difficulty: 86.0, Opponent Quality: 64.4

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record
50%

2W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.08

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.28

0.96

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.16

Adjusted Power Rating
67.7

Attack: 71.6, Defense: 67.7, Form: 71.6

40.8

Attack: 27.5, Defense: 65.3, Form: 30.9

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

2
3

16-30'

1
1

31-45'

1
5

46-60'

1
6

61-75'

3
2

76-90+'

Monaco
Nacional
Monaco

Power Rating Breakdown

67.7

Overall

Attack 71.6
Defense 67.7
Form 71.6
Consistency 52.0
Nacional

Power Rating Breakdown

40.8

Overall

Attack 27.5
Defense 65.3
Form 30.9
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

86.0 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

64.4 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%
Monaco logo Monaco
L
Lille (73%)
W
Metz (48%)
D
Toulouse (62%)
D
Auxerre (66%)
L
Paris FC (77%)
W
Marseille (61%)
W
Lyon (70%)
W
Brest (56%)
Nacional logo Nacional
L
Santa Clara (71%)
L
AVS (59%)
W
Tondela (57%)
W
Alverca (59%)
L
Benfica (80%)
W
Estrela (49%)
L
Famalicão (74%)
L
Estoril (47%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Lille H
0 - 1 L
73%
Metz A
2 - 1 W
48%
Toulouse A
2 - 2 D
62%
Auxerre H
2 - 2 D
66%
Paris FC A
1 - 4 L
77%
Marseille H
2 - 1 W
61%
Lyon A
2 - 1 W
70%
Brest H
2 - 0 W
56%
Paris SG A
3 - 1 W
84%
Angers H
2 - 0 W
47%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Santa Clara A
0 - 2 L
71%
AVS H
1 - 2 L
59%
Tondela A
2 - 0 W
57%
Alverca H
1 - 0 W
59%
Benfica A
0 - 2 L
80%
Estrela H
2 - 0 W
49%
Famalicão A
0 - 1 L
74%
Estoril H
0 - 1 L
47%
Moreirense A
1 - 1 D
55%
Braga H
1 - 2 L
64%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Monaco has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 69.4) compared to Nacional (SoS: 53.1). This means Monaco's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Monaco's attack is on another level, averaging 1.8 goals per match with F. Balogun leading the charge with 8 goals. Nacional manages just 0.8 per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Monaco conceding 1.3 and Nacional conceding 1.1 per match.

Monaco has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Nacional has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Monaco is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Monaco emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (67.7 vs 40.8) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Monaco

Monaco

VS
Nacional

Nacional

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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