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Compare Nacional vs Tondela

Nacional vs Tondela Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Nacional vs Tondela: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Nacional Nacional Home Team
Tondela Tondela Away Team
Nacional
40.8
L L W W L W L L D L

Last 10 Matches

Tondela
37.0
W W D L L D L D L D

Categories Won

8

Nacional

4

Draw

3

Tondela

Performance Radar

Nacional
Tondela

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 1D, 6L

20%

2W, 4D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
0.8

8 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-3

-3

-7

-7

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
20%

2 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
30%

3 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
J. Ramírez (3 goals)
Rony Lopes (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

17%

1W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

52.7

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 60.4

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.96

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.16

0.92

Actual: 0.9 | Diff: -0.02

Adjusted Power Rating
40.8

Attack: 27.5, Defense: 65.3, Form: 30.9

37.0

Attack: 30.8, Defense: 47.9, Form: 20.5

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

2
1

16-30'

1
1

31-45'

1

46-60'

2
3

61-75'

1

76-90+'

3
Nacional
Tondela
Nacional

Power Rating Breakdown

40.8

Overall

Attack 27.5
Defense 65.3
Form 30.9
Consistency 46.0
Tondela

Power Rating Breakdown

37.0

Overall

Attack 30.8
Defense 47.9
Form 20.5
Consistency 64.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

79.0 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

61.5 vs 60.4

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Nacional logo Nacional
L
Santa Clara (71%)
L
AVS (59%)
W
Tondela (57%)
W
Alverca (59%)
L
Benfica (80%)
W
Estrela (49%)
L
Famalicão (74%)
L
Estoril (47%)
Tondela logo Tondela
W
Moreirense (50%)
W
Casa Pia (53%)
D
Sporting (75%)
L
Nacional (52%)
L
Porto (74%)
D
Gil Vicente (55%)
L
Vitória SC (59%)
D
AVS (59%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Santa Clara A
0 - 2 L
71%
AVS H
1 - 2 L
59%
Tondela A
2 - 0 W
57%
Alverca H
1 - 0 W
59%
Benfica A
0 - 2 L
80%
Estrela H
2 - 0 W
49%
Famalicão A
0 - 1 L
74%
Estoril H
0 - 1 L
47%
Moreirense A
1 - 1 D
55%
Braga H
1 - 2 L
64%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Moreirense H
2 - 0 W
50%
Casa Pia A
1 - 0 W
53%
Sporting A
2 - 2 D
75%
Nacional H
0 - 2 L
52%
Porto A
0 - 2 L
74%
Gil Vicente H
2 - 2 D
55%
Vitória SC A
0 - 5 L
59%
AVS H
0 - 0 D
59%
Rio Ave H
0 - 1 L
61%
Santa Clara H
2 - 2 D
66%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 53.1 vs 52.7), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Nacional averaging 0.8 and Tondela averaging 0.9 goals per match.

Nacional has the defensive edge, conceding 1.1 per match compared to Tondela's 1.6.

Nacional has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.2 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being unlikely.

In their recent Portuguese Primeira Liga match (2026-04-25), Nacional prevailed 0-2 against Tondela. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Nacional achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Tondela shows genuine quality and mental strength. Tondela will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Nacional will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Nacional

Nacional

VS
Tondela

Tondela

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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